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Roulette-focused => Main Roulette Board => Topic started by: MrJ on Jul 03, 10:17 PM 2010

Title: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: MrJ on Jul 03, 10:17 PM 2010
I have played this maybe 13 times and love it. I know 13 is not many but I'll post this regardless, there are MANY similar methods to this. This is *VERY* easy to use. Its flat betting. I bet $50 per spin, use whatever units you desire. Red/black is my starting point. Then its odd/even and last, 1-18/19-36. (I catch a streak and stay on it.) Ok, I start betting on the LAST color that hit, we'll say black.

I keep betting on whatever color just hit, hoping to get a nice streak, 8+ is nice. I switch to odd/even when things get CHOPPY with the colors. 'Choppy' is open to interpretation. Two different people might have two different definitions. If a 0/00 hits, bet on the last outcome. Lets say a 7 hit and then a 0. Next bet? Odd. Again, say the odd/evens are getting choppy. I then switch to 1-18/19-36.

Stay ON IT as long as its not choppy, use your head. If its making you some units, stay on it. Do NOT lose your entire profit (to that point) because you dont feel like switching. Again, say the 1-18/19-36 is getting choppy.....back to red/black etc. If you are betting while a PARTICULAR streak is in progress, cool, you'll be on it. If things get tough, no biggie, switch! I also use a 4x6 notebook to record everything. I know most will check out the history board but I still keep track, just in case of board mistakes.  Ken
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: GLC on Jul 04, 12:49 PM 2010
Mr J,

Nice to see a flat bet system from the progression man.  I've never played the EC's this way, but it looks to have merit. 

I have played a similar way in which I start betting on low(1-18) and stay with it as long as it's hitting.  On a loss (you could use 2 or 3 losses)  you move to the right on the board and bet Even until it loses.  Then I move to the right and bet on Red etc...  When I finally reach Hi (19-36) and have a loss, I just start over.  I was doing this to  try to create some random in my bet selection.

I will try you system and see how I do.  The copperhead in the hen-house is deciding when it's choppy enough to  move on.  It will probably take some time to hone our skill at this.

G.
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: MrJ on Jul 04, 02:25 PM 2010
Good luck! Like I said, 'choppy' could mean different things to different people. For myself, if its around 5 losses in a row OR lose 5 out of 7, I would switch. I say use common sense.  Ken
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: MrJ on Aug 03, 04:22 PM 2010
I played this for 4 hours this morning. A nice NET of $1,800 (using black chips). Ken
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: VLS on Aug 03, 05:32 PM 2010
Quote from: MrJ on Aug 03, 04:22 PM 2010
I played this for 4 hours this morning. A nice NET of $1,800 (using black chips). Ken

Sweet! Congrats Ken.  :thumbsup:
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: GLC on Dec 16, 10:17 PM 2010
MrJ,

This is a sweet system.  I have been testing it to see if I can go with the flow.  And I have been doing quite well. 

I use a gradual progression. 

It's called the Alexembert bet method. 

For those unfamiliar with it, it is based on the D'Alembert which is +1 on a loss, -1 on a win.  With the Alexembert you start at 1 and instead of increasing by 1 unit on a loss, you increase by 2 or 3 or 4 units when you increase.

You don't increase after every loss.  You increase and decrease based on the number of steps you skip in your progression.

Example:  Let's say we want to jump 2 steps on a loss instead of 1.  So, our progression line will be 1-3-5-7-9-11 etc...  Now we could just play a steeper D'Alembert and move 2 units on every loss and win, but with the Alexembert we don't move up or down until we either lose or win 2 times in a row.

So, if we start by betting 1 unit and lose, we bet 1 unit again and lose.  Now we jump to 3 units. We have to lose at our 3 unit bet 2 times in a row before we can jump up to our 5 unit bet.  Before we can drop down to 3 units from 5 units, we have to win 2 times in a row.

The idea behind this bet method is to try to be betting smaller amounts when we are losing in hopes that we'll start winning when we are betting the larger amounts.

At times it works like a dream.  The largest jump progression I've tried is 1-4-7-10-13 etc...

I don't play the bet selection exactly like you do MrJ.  I watch all 3 e.c.s and anytime one of them hits 3 times in a row, I bet on that one and continue to bet on it until I see another one go 3 in a row and then I jump on whichever one that is.

If things are too choppy, I'll sit out until I start getting some streaking going and then jump back in.

I can't quantify this, but I feel like I'm definitely doing better with this method than some of the other mechanical bet selection methods that I have tried.

Plus, I feel like with as much time as I've spent clocking the wheel, I have a little edge based on experience that can't be factored in mathematically and it just may be enough to overcome the small edge the house has.

I am keeping track of my wins vs losses and if I were flat betting, I would still be ahead of the game.  Not by a whole lot, but enough so that if I could play for blackies, it would surely be worth it.

You played 4 hours to win 18 chips which is a waste of time at a buck a chip, but at $100 chips, it's a goldmine.

Some of you other guys with a lot of experience should give this a spin.  You might be surprised how it works for you.

Thanks again Ken. :thumbsup:

Cheers,

George
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: GLC on Dec 16, 11:11 PM 2010
Just played another session for a +30 win.

$3000.  I wish! :lol:

G
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: MrJ on Dec 16, 11:42 PM 2010
Great job!

Ken
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: Compa on Dec 17, 03:10 AM 2010
Quote from: MrJ on Dec 16, 11:42 PM 2010
Great job!

Ken

Hey Ken! Great post. Never play more than one "good" EC at the Time then?

Cheers

Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: MrJ on Dec 17, 03:17 AM 2010
Yep, only one WHILE its trending. If it gets 'choppy', switch to the next EC etc.

Ken
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: beretta28 on Dec 17, 08:08 AM 2010
what bankroll do you need,in units?
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: MrJ on Dec 17, 06:01 PM 2010
I always love this question......Thats up to you! Of course you have to meet min. bet requirements. Its totally up to you because its flat betting but just make sure its worth your time, hourly. As far as BR? Same answer, however much you are willing to part with. I do $50 per, a 2.5K BR.

SIDENOTE: This is NOT choppy >>

R
R
R
R
B
R
R
R
R

Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: Carlitos on Dec 18, 08:23 AM 2010
...... that happens a lot...... streaks on EC..... permenanzen from von Tisch 3 (am. Roulette) von 18.12.2009 -,

9-6-15 ( 3 low ) -28 ( 3 black ) -9-1-33 ( 3 Odd ) -10-32-32-36-28 ( 5 Even ).... etc....


But what do you notice when this happens -> 10-32-32-36-28.......?



I play EC on this, used to follow all 3 EC, however that is isn't good enough because the choppy thing comes along......






Carlitos  8)







Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: GLC on Dec 18, 12:08 PM 2010
Carlitos,

I have been playing around with this idea and am playing a way that seems to be holding steady.  At least in these early stages.

I start by betting on Lo until I lose 2 times in a row.
I then move to Red until I lose 2 times in a row.
Then move to Odd until lose 2X.
Then Even, then Black, then Hi, then start over on Lo.

The actual sequence you bet on the e.c. may not matter.  You could use a trigger so when you lose 2 or you could wait until you lose 3 times on a particular e.c. you move to the e.c. that's seems to be trending the best.  The problem I run into is that often the trends don't always last that long.  My above bet selection can often catch some pretty good streaks.

I am using a let-it-ride bet progression which is working fine.  You have to expect a loss eventually.  Hope for later and not sooner.

My progression is 1-1-1-1-3-4-5-7-10-13-17.

I bet the 1st 1 unit and if I win, I leave the 2 units (one I bet and 1 I won) ride for the next bet.  If I win, I am up 3 units.  If I lose, I'm down 1 unit.

If I lose, I go to the 2nd 1 unit bet.  If I win, I leave the 2 units for the next bet.  If I win, I am up 2 units.  If I lose, I'm down 2 units.

Anytime I win 2 times in a row, I start over.

If I lose the whole progression, I go to a recovery progression of 1-1-1-1-6-8-10-15-20-25-35-50.  Play with this progression until you are back to even.  

You could play until you recover all 63 units lost in the base progression, but that puts you at greater risk of losing the recovery progression also which is our stop-loss.

I play  until I win 50 units.  Most of the time, I win without a loss of the base progression.  My attitude is that if I lose the base progression and then recover back to even for the session with the recovery progression,  that's a break even day accept it and live to play again.

When I shoot to win 50 or lose my recovery progression, I will have more big loss days which will take me back a big step.

Once again, play to suit yourself.

Each person must learn to play a system base on their personality and betting level.

I think with practice and maybe some personal tweaks, this can be a winning system.

Good luck and thanks to Ken for the system,

George  
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: GLC on Dec 18, 06:20 PM 2010
Just played another session to +51.

Highest bet was 10 on 2 different attacks.

So far I haven't lost a base progression.

It's coming.  I can smell it.

Question is, "Will I be able to recover?"

We'll see.

George ???
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: GLC on Dec 18, 11:07 PM 2010
Another session to +61.  Got carried away and went passed 50.

This was a hard fought session until the end.

I used a bet variation published by Carsch over at BacarratForum.com.  It's a variation of the Star bet method for those of you who are familiar with that system.

1-1-2-2-4-4-8-8-16-16-32-32.
The first number in a set is bet twice and if you lose betting the first number twice, you go to the second number and if you win it you parlay it.  Do this until you either win the first number in the doublet twice or you win the second number as a parlay.

By parlay, I mean you must let your bet and winnings ride for the next spin.

I did get to the 2nd 32 unit bet which I had to let ride and I won the parlay bet also which was the difference between -126 and +2. :'( :thumbsup:  Just squeaked by. 

I don't think I like just randomly moving amoung the e.c.s so I'm going to start looking for one that's trending and make a conscious decision based on that.  This way is more in keeping with Ken's way of playing.

This last session is the first one that would have ended in a loss had I been flat betting.

Cheers,

George
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: Carlitos on Dec 19, 03:54 AM 2010
Hello GLC,




I only play the EC which comes along in the direct streak. And I only play direct streaks with an mild progression if necessary.


QuoteBut what do you notice when this happens -> 10-32-32-36-28.......?


But did you see this above.....?  What do you notice.....? As you see it is an Even streak, 5 evens. But look at the 10 and then 32. It tells you that only the even is streaking, it's their only connection.


Likewise, 7-35-31-19-5...... 5 Odds, 7 and 35 tells you it's only odds. Off course it does not happen all of time and sometimes it happens at the end of the streak.


I would say try to find more patterns within the direct streak............





Carlitos  8)





Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: iggiv on Dec 19, 09:51 AM 2010
u got lots of luck Ken :thumbsup:

congratulations!
Title: Re: The only outside trend betting I do
Post by: RouletteGhost on Sep 15, 11:49 AM 2015
Bump