hi folks,
while browsing a german forum I found something interesting.
the guy who started the threat did this:
he seperated the 3 even chances into 2 different groups.
group A: LRO, HRO, LBE, HBE
group B: LRE, HRE, LBO, HBO
if you look at the groups you'll find that the combinations in group A consist of 5 numbers, the combinations in group B consist of 4 numbers.
he then ran a simulation regarding the ratio of the repeats for each group.
the results were significantly different from what should be expected. (see attachments).
normally we should expect a 50/50% ratio between singles and the sum of the added up repeaters. he got the following results:
group A: singles 106.376 vs. repeaters 133.626 = difference 27.250
group B: singles 133.496 vs. repeaters 106.507 = difference 26.989
if this simulation doesn't contain any mistakes I wonder if we could draw the conclusion that making use of layout-imbalances does have an influence on the behavior of series results? :o
maybe some forum member can run a similar simulation to check wether these results are valid?
cheers
hans
Hi Hans,
Unless I'm missing something here, it seems to me that the difference is easily accounted for by the fact that group A consists of 5 numbers while group B only has 4. Any group of numbers larger than another will always have longer streaks, and conversely the group of smaller numbers will have more singles. Think about betting one dozen vs 2 dozens; in a 1 dozen bet, your chance of a repeat is 2-1 against, whereas in a 2 dozen bet it's 2-1 in favour. The same principle applies to any 2 groups consisting of different quantities of numbers bet.
This reminds me if anyone has any idea on exploiting the unbalance between BLack Even & Red Odd against any other two group of Ecs.
;-)