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Target Betting Tests

Started by thelaw, Aug 04, 11:43 PM 2015

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0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

ddarko

Quote from: thelaw on Aug 11, 09:08 PM 2015
Not necessarily.

If I could find a way to limit the max bet to 5000 units only in extreme circumstances, you could reasonably get away with $10,000.

But, then again, the Labby has performed better with max dd, not to mention the Divisor System.

Also, keep in mind there are many ways to play this : Horse-racing/Sports Betting/Greyhounds/etc...... :thumbsup:

Well I know that kinda spread is too rich for my blood.......

Good luck to Ya !!!

O0

thelaw

Update : The Grail requires Balls!!!

With now around 2500 spins tested, the Target Betting Progression holds up using 3-play rules if you apply the Labouchere Progression to the LTD (Martingale aspect) of the system. This does, however, mean that you will be making bets approaching the 5000 unit mark at times with a minimum bankroll of 10,000 units to start.

I will continue posting test results starting tomorrow with the updated "horror sequence" until I find a losing game. :thumbsup:
You sir.......are a monster!!!

thelaw

Here are a few Spielbank tests :

***E/C - no special bet selection - Please note that I chose the color with the lowest showing for bet selection***



03.08.2015 Table #3

Spins : #366

Largest Draw-down : 00

Total : +393 units

------------------------------

01.08.2015 Table #2


Spins : #188

Largest Draw-down : -138

Total : +136 units

------------------------------
02.08.2015 Table #3

Spins : #248

Largest Draw-down : -05

Total : +226 units

------------------------------
04.07.2015 Table #2

Spins : #192

Largest Draw-down : -293

Total : +101 units
You sir.......are a monster!!!

thelaw

Spins Tested : #2829

***Updated Strategy in previous posts beat the horror sequence, but I still need to key it in. Should have it in a few days***

More tests :

14.08.2015 Table #2

Spins : #235

Largest Draw-down : 00

Total : +262 units
You sir.......are a monster!!!

thelaw

Thought that I would add this for clarification as I am adjusting some of the rules from the original system.

3-Play Losing Sequence directly from blog looks like this without adjustments :

L     4
L     12
L     24
W    nb
L     48
L     96
L     192
W    nb
L     384
L     768
L     1536
W    nb
L     3072
L     5000 (max bet cap)
L     5000
W
L     5000
L     5000
L     5000 (30,000 cap bank-a little over actually)


Just a basic extended Martingale. I've added the 30,000 unit cap as the author claims that you will not hit that ceiling in 1000s of spins because you will always get ahead once you get into the 5000 unit betting series.

I would further extend the Martingale and double the bank if you hit a 30,000 unit loss with a new 60,000 bank and all units doubled. The goal would be to hit 30,000 units before failure. Great risk, but great reward.

My banks would be as follows :

30,000
60,000
120,000 (still allows less than a 25,000 unit bet)





You sir.......are a monster!!!

thelaw

I'm now looking for this specific pattern through the Spielbank archives. So far dozens of days with no pattern.

Please let me know if anyone finds this pattern.

Thanks! :)
You sir.......are a monster!!!

thelaw

Final Post : Conclusion

After testing this system for around 3000 spins, and reading all of the author's blog posts regarding the system, there appear to be too many risks vs reward with this method.

Here are my issues :


-Author claims that you can just jump from one table to another if betting limits are reached, but I quickly found several situations where you lost 9 double-up bets in a row (3 ltd bets then retreat x 3), indicating that it would be easy to hit that same problem when you jump to the next table-leaving you with 18 losses in a row=complete loss of bankroll

-If the author plays the hit-and-run method, then you are still at risk of multiple session losses in a row destroying your bankroll ( a session loss in this scenario would be 3 losses in a row before retreating)

-Even adjusting the ltd (loss to date) aspect of the method, you are still left with either needing to win more than you lose, or not lose too many bets in a row to recover properly


Bottom Line : Too Many Holes to Play Effectively :sad2:
You sir.......are a monster!!!

Still

The author is misrepresented if you are saying he jumps tables as an aspect of hit-and-run.  He jumps if stopped by table limits, jumping to other casinos/venues with higher limits. The author does not jump to the kind of conclusions you've jumped to between your last and second-to last post.

thelaw

Quote from: Still on Aug 20, 11:42 AM 2015
The author is misrepresented if you are saying he jumps tables as an aspect of hit-and-run.  He jumps if stopped by table limits, jumping to other casinos/venues with higher limits. The author does not jump to the kind of conclusions you've jumped to between your last and second-to last post.

Agreed. He does, however, imply multiple times on his blog that you should leave the table if the trend is not going your way, as opposed to riding the Martingale into the ground.

Not sure what "conclusions" that you are referring to that I jumped to using actual results from Spielbank. The system that he presents tanks pretty quickly.

If you have a clarification of some aspect of the system claimed by the author available on the blog, I'd love to hear it.


from the blog :

"Whenever you feel uncomfortable or threatened in a given location, move and take your NB/LTD numbers to a new layout ("the math" will be unaffected).".

"Anyone who has ever gambled in a casino for more than an hour or two knows the value of taking a break when a prolonged losing streak sets in, and listening to a combination of experience and gut feelings that signal when a change of scene is needed."
You sir.......are a monster!!!

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