123 vs EC. Not your typical 120 page thread (I think)

[mogul397]

So after my latest run looking for single dozens that made my head hurt
that just ended, and a revisit to the 123 method, a happy medium
came up.  What about the EC?

If you look at it, the 123, 2 dozen method is simply a 3 step martingale on
2 dozens.  Risky but effective.  It ends up that the selection method is a
"crap shoot". Shotgun. And that is it's strength. Moving target is harder to hit.

Then we all swing the other way looking and hoping for 2-1 payoff
on single dozens.  What about the EC?  Here is the comparison.

123 is a martingale which, if played with a 1,3,9 will risk 28 units. At
a $5 table that is $140.

If you do the same thing with an EC, you can do a 1,2,4,8,16 martingale,
risking $160 at a $5 table.

So the math difference is small, only based on how the bets are packaged.
Everyone makes fun of a martingale. But recently it almost occurred to me
that it really is the only way to win.  And as everyone would like to ignore,
the gambling community agrees, via it's love of 123 with a 1,3,9 martingale.

Every time someone talks about a martingale they have this tendency to decide
that bet selection is just playing red or black and talking about how they can
come in 25 times in a row.  The truth is that I always wondered (and spoke about
several times) that you can or should play a martingale in a more flexible fashion.

Like the shotgun selection used for 123. So each series you play, you fire a shotgun
and pick your 5 EC's and play it out. Same as the 123 1,3,9 method now.

What is the advantage?  Well it brings you half way over to the single dozen,
2-1 thing that we keep looking at. It softens the blow of the progression, giving
you more chances to resolve your martingale. Admittedly, it is apples to apples
in the math world.

But one thing that's helped is the effect of the zero. If you play 34 numbers hoping
not to hit the ONE number, winning most of the time, the zero will KILL you.
Giving you more than your share of ass whipping when you lose 34 units on a
loss. So we soften that blow with smaller share bets where a zero loss just
gets absorbed. That is one benefit of this method of betting.

So other than the change of venue to EC from double or single dozen here is
simply taking note that we can pick out 5 random EC's that we don't want to
hit and play them the same way as the double dozen.  It doesn't look or feel the
same since we don't have numbers (like 123). Intead red/black, etc.

But it's easier on the nerves. At least on the surface. With a similar risk.