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Converting prediction error to % Adv

Started by Firefox, Jan 14, 10:49 AM 2019

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Firefox

Say that one is predicting winning numbers using visual ballistics or another method during the spin and there is a good dominant diamond.

If one predicts randomly, maths suggest the mean error would be +\- 9.25 pockets (on a European) wheel.

Is there a way to correlate mean prediction error with % advantage on the wheel in order to establish how well the prediction  system has adapted to prevailing conditions.

For example
9.25 pockets mean = -2.7%
9 pockets mean= ??%
8 pockets mean= ??%
7 pockets mean= ??%

Etc etc

Is this a good way of indicating worthwhile conditions?  Or is there a better way?

Sorry if this has been answered elsewhere. I took a look and couldn't  see it.

Bigbroben

Quote from: Firefox on Jan 14, 10:49 AM 2019
Say that one is predicting winning numbers using visual ballistics or another method during the spin and there is a good dominant diamond.

If one predicts randomly, maths suggest the mean error would be +\- 9.25 pockets (on a European) wheel.

Is there a way to correlate mean prediction error with % advantage on the wheel in order to establish how well the prediction  system has adapted to prevailing conditions.

For example
9.25 pockets mean = -2.7%
9 pockets mean= ??%
8 pockets mean= ??%
7 pockets mean= ??%

Etc etc

Is this a good way of indicating worthwhile conditions?  Or is there a better way?

Sorry if this has been answered elsewhere. I took a look and couldn't  see it.

Are you looking for a mathematical formula?

9,25 comes from the average of the half, so 37/4, right?  You get to -2.7% by finding the percentage of payouts/odds*100.  Since your payout is 36, and your odds are 37/4 (9.25), it goes: (36/4-9.5)/9.25*100=2.7%

This is what you mean?
Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

Firefox

Brilliant. Thanks for the information.

nottophammer

How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

Mako


Bigbroben

Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

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