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Probability: Total vs. Cluster potential

Started by falkor2k15, Nov 14, 11:08 AM 2016

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falkor2k15

In Roulette can events with similar probabilities for running totals have different stats for occurring in a row (or clustering)?

Since Red and Black is 50/50, does this also dictate how many reds or blacks can appear in a row on average?

However, I think some 50/50 events whilst also having 50% probability could result in vastly different results when it comes to average in a row and maximum in a row?

So could events be described as 50/50 (or whatever probability) but with different properties when it comes to clustering?
"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

falkor2k15

Dozen 1 = 01 14621 in a row146267%
Dozen 1 = 02 4952+ in a row73333%
Dozen 1 = 03 1592195
Dozen 1 = 04 55
Dozen 1 = 05 20
Dozen 1 = 06 3
Dozen 1 = 07 1
Dozen 2 = 01 1415
Dozen 2 = 02 501
Dozen 2 = 03 157
Dozen 2 = 04 36
Dozen 2 = 05 17
Dozen 2 = 06 8
Dozen 2 = 07 3
Dozen 3 = 01 1447
Dozen 3 = 02 475
Dozen 3 = 03 167
Dozen 3 = 04 57
Dozen 3 = 05 15
Dozen 3 = 06 8
Dozen 3 = 07 2
Dozen 3 = 08 1

Above, we clearly got more chance for 1 in a row compared to 2+ in a row, right?

But when I do the average for Dozen 1 in a row I get 1.49, so that would tell us there's a fine line between 1 in a row compared to 2+ in a row?

What is the difference between these 2 statistical methods and which one is more accurate?
"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

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