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Parachute Method

Started by ego, Jan 16, 02:05 PM 2018

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0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

ego


I am going to share a method - that is what some people would call HG - but this particular method is not working.
The reason is that you less numbers you play with higher pay outs you more spins it takes to get a bet down.
So just playing EC bet and then Dozen can result with 300 trails or 8 hours play - that is not practical and the reason why you can not play this method with real money in a real casino.


ONE REASON I POST THIS IS BECAUSE SOME ONE MIGHT HAVE A SOLUTION THAT I CAN NOT SEE

This is at development state and i will explain the idea.

I aim to make 30K a year using this idea when its complete.
Will not use the word HG as i know all system fail.
But i am confident this method will make more money then you lose - that is my feeling about this idea.

I have never seen any other flat betting Parachute method then Victors 36 unit Parachute.
It win some and lose some and you can not win overall or triple you bankroll using it.

Now i have also come up with a flat betting method for the Parachute, but is more complex.
I use the binomial probability calculation for each location at the roulette table being equal a EC bet with my Parachute method and i aim to win two in a row.

This is the Parachute Method

EC

Dozen 
Dozen

Line 
Line 
Line 
Line 

Corner 
Corner
Corner 
Corner 
Corner 
Corner

Street   
Street   
Street   
Street 
Street 
Street   
Street 
Street 

Split 
Split
Split 
Split
Split
Split   
Split 
Split
Split   
Split
Split 
Split 

Each location has 50% probability of happening

A EC bet has 50% probability winning once
A Dozen has 50% probability winning once within two attempts.
A Line has 50% probability winning once within four attempts.
A Corner has 50% probability winning once within six attempts
A Street has 50% probability winning once within eight attempts.
A Split has 50% probability winning once within twelve attempts.

The Parachute Method

We don't play this parachute the original way where you first bet EC then Dozen then Line and so on ...
My idea is to play the each location of the Parachute by it self with its own progression.

For example we play the EC bet using 1 1 2 2 3 3 progression with six steps for level one and we aim to win two in a row. Next if we lose all six attempts 1 1 2 2 3 3 we go into recovery state and staking level two 2 2 4 4 6 6 playing the next location Dozen position. Now if we lose again we play the Line with 4 4 8 8 12 12 that is level three. Next 8 8 16 16 24 24 with Corner with level four. Next 16 16 32 32 48 48 with street location as level five. And at last Split location using 32 32 64 64 96 96.

Each time we move up one level into recovery mode with higher units the pay outs is higher and give us a shorter way back to full return of investment.

NOTE

The progression is just one idea and not complete solution and the six levels is just experiment.
Concept comes from Ching a Ling method from rouletteforum dot com where Chingy711 play FTL using four level progression and aim to win two in a row.

Math and Probability of losing all six levels

First you have to understand Marigny using singles versus larger series.
A single is a loss and a serie of two is a tie (where you repeat the bet for next situation) and a serie of three or higher is two winning bets in a row.

Now you following one fixated location on the roulette table, for example LOW
When LOW hits once you play once it will repeat for two times in a row and you get a serie of three.
If you lose you wait for a new LOW to hit and then again bet for a repeat, twice.

Lets say you get LOW and bet once and win your first bet but lose your second bet.
Then you did not get two wins in a row you only win once and got a serie of two.
This means you made no profit and no loss, you are even and can wait for LOW to hit again and repeat the bet.
With other words a TIE.

Each level of the Parachute is played in the same way.

Next if you lose the LOW bet with six attempts you continue with Dozen 1 for six attmepts. If you lose then LINE 1 for six attempts. If you lose again you use the hitting Corner in line 1. If it lose you play Street 1 and if it lose you play the Split in street 1 that hit next.

Now singles has the value of 1 and are a direct loss
Series of two has the value of 0 and are a tie, break even
Series of three has the value of 1 and are two wins in row

A straight loss with not winning two in a row once has not happen during several million simulations.
36 straight loses are 5.82 Z-Score with other words 5.82 SD

This does not help us but indicate that the strength behind the Parachute Method.
You higher we reach the levels you more we have the probability that the odds tip over to our side.
Meaning there will be some kind of regression towards the mean and we recover to get a new fresh start from the beginning again.

Clearing some thoughts

First the Parachute Method wins flat betting when you aim to win two in a row.
The reason is to the higher pay-outs playing less numbers.
This is when you play with no progression and play EC bet and if you lose you move to Dozen and if you lose you move to Line and so on.

Should also mention that twelve singles with series of two is 3.06 Z-Score
So there is a reason why you hovering around first and second level at all times.

Does rare moments when you reach above 3.06 Z-Score you have the expectation of regression being even stronger.

The progression is a modified Carch Star Variant.

Base Level 1 1 2 2 4 4 8 8 16 16
Second Level 2 2 4 4 8 8 16 16 32 32
Third Level 6 6 12 12 24 24 48 48 96 96

The reason i add a more smooth progression is that you get higher pay-outs when you play less numbers.
But they are still equal a even money bet.

Base Level
1 1 2 2 3 3 total 12 units
Recovery Level
2 2 4 4 6 6 total 24 units
Recovery Level
4 4 8 8 12 12 total 44 units
Recovery Level
8 8 16 16 24 24 total 96 units
Recovery Level
16 16 32 32 48 48 total 192 units
Recovery Level
32 32 64 64 96 96 total 384 units

Total 752 units

This means a base bet around 3 Euro equal a bankroll of 2260 Euro
But i reckon that i will play with with 1 Euro Air Ball Machine and after triple the bankroll playing with higher base bet.

This is what Chinky711 did when he reach 30K with method based upon same principal.
You play hit and run - sometime you can strike several times without going into recovery state - the good days.
Sometimes you get back to back result days - bumpy ride days.
And at rare days you end up in recovery mode making nothing - bad days.

Chingy711 just increase hes base bet to a higher base bet after doubbling hes bankroll several times in a row.

One other option

The progression above is dependent to win two in a row - after each other - but there is a progression that wins where you win twice during any position during six attempts. For example the original progression 1 2 4 6 8 12 using this basic line you will profit winning twice during any of does six bets - but the original is to agressive and i have been experimenting with options like 1 1 1 1 2 3 and still profit with a slow grind.

So here is a option - winning twice during any of the six attempts or winning twice after each other.
This is the currect development based upon this idea.

What i have not solve is the spin slow spin duration.
Reason i use one fix location on the wheel - for example low and then dozen 1 and then line 1 and then corner in line 1 and then street 1 and then split in street 1 - reason is that the Z-Score or SD grow stronger for each location not hitting two in a row.

Cheers
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

MrG

Hi Ego,

I tried this but probably I'm doing something wrong because in 100 spins I lost 2 times. According to you this doesn't lose on millions of spins. By a loss I mean that during cycle of 36 spins there were not 2 consecutive wins. The way I do it is that I play 6 times EC, if there are not 2 consecutive wins, I play 6 times dozens, if there are not 2 consecutive wins I move on to play 6 times lines, if there are not 2 consecutive wins I play 6 times corners, if not 2 consecutive wins I play 6 times streets, if not 2 consecutive wins I move on to play 6 times splits and if even at splits there are not 2 consecutive wins I consider this as a loss and start again. If there are 2 consecutive wins I start again from EC.

Also I don't get that on one hand you are saying that every level (EC, dozen, line, etc.) shall be played 6 times but on the other hand you say that:
A Street has 50% probability winning once within eight attempts.
A Split has 50% probability winning once within twelve attempts.

So shall not be street played for 8 times and split for 12 times?

Thanks for reply.

ego


MRG my main languish is not English and many members during the years on forum boards have complained about how I write and explain things.
I will make a video and upload it for you to watch, then it will become self-explanatory.

Will just short mention two things.

With the video, I will pick two numbers as my final selection and parachute my way towards does two numbers.
If I win once during the parachute and not twice then the bet gets a repeat.

Cheers
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

jekhb76

Quote from: ego on May 13, 10:52 AM 2018
MRG my main languish is not English and many members during the years on forum boards have complained about how I write and explain things.
I will make a video and upload it for you to watch, then it will become self-explanatory.

Will just short mention two things.

With the video, I will pick two numbers as my final selection and parachute my way towards does two numbers.
If I win once during the parachute and not twice then the bet gets a repeat.

Cheers
Thanks, looking forward to it.

ego


Someone can upload and attach a real casino file with results - Europen Wheel - so no one can say that I manipulate the results.
Did a video and end up twenty-seven units flat-betting pretty fast, so I reckon better if someone else uploads a file.

Cheers
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

jekhb76

Quote from: ego on May 13, 11:07 AM 2018
Someone can upload and attach a real casino file with results - Europen Wheel - so no one can say that I manipulate the results.
Did a video and end up twenty-seven units flat-betting pretty fast, so I reckon better if someone else uploads a file.

Cheers
Understand  :thumbsup: otherwise we get those discussion again  :yawn:

ego

Quote from: jekhb76 on May 13, 11:32 AM 2018
Understand  :thumbsup: otherwise we get those discussion again  :yawn:

I change my mind and will keep this private - I will PM you and MRG as you both show interest - for all other viewers they don't get involved and should not be given the action.

Cheers
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

jekhb76

Quote from: ego on May 13, 11:43 AM 2018
I change my mind and will keep this private - I will PM you and MRG as you both show interest - for all other viewers they don't get involved and should not be given the action.

Cheers
Understood.  :thumbsup:

joiner29

Hi I would be interested in testing your method if you could PM me the video to show how you play
Tom

nottophammer

How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

Scarface

I like the parachute concept, and play it quite often.  Just not liking the progression from 1 unit to 96...too rich for me  :).  I prefer to increase wager by 1 unit a level, but aim for multiple hits to recover

vladir

I have tried parachutes a lot... I like to follow the last hit number. It wins... and loses...
Your method seems to be able to hold on for a long time.... but when it crashes there goes a bankroll...
"In God we trust; all others must bring data", W. Edwards Deming

vladir

In the spirit of sharing, I leave here a parachute progression I tried.  All steps in the progression will aim to either win 1 unit(sometimes a bit more) or recover to previous high (at wich time you should reset). Bankroll needed: 197 units.  It goes only to split level. Here it is:

EC: 1 | 1
DOZ: 1 | 2 | 3
Line: 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4
Corner: 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7
Street: 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9
Split: 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11

You will win most of the time... and then lose :(
"In God we trust; all others must bring data", W. Edwards Deming

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