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One cycle is continues time-line.

Started by ego, Aug 25, 04:48 AM 2012

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ego


1) Well i only try to rap my mind around it to find some kind of steady present hovering distribution with winnings and loses that you can capitalize on.

2) I notice that try to get a tight LW-Registry with small gaps of loses does not necessary have to be the best solution as we deal with negative expectation where i find a time-line using cycles can be as effective as any other existing bet selection - thanks to Victor ...

3) I come to the conclusion that we should have a main hovering state to regularly capitalize on and when the fluctuation or the negative expectation hits us we change approach to correction state with less variance - even if some thing not is due to happen - so should our recovery plan be to grind back minimum loses from our main hovering state.

4) Also start to operating with casino money using the same playing method i mention above and only at rare times risk our own money.

NOTE

The link AL post is a main idea for a playing model - but i am not saying that one is a working playing model as i can not work our or rap my mind around how to developing does two states with satisfaction.

Conclusion is that i not deal with colours any more as i find formations and cycles being more powerful ...
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

Bayes

Quote from: TwoCatSam on Aug 29, 03:11 PM 2012

Bayes

Are you saying that the chances of four unique sets of three:

xOO
xXO
xXX
xOX

are only 9.4%?

I should see this 94 times in a thousand spins?

Not SPINS. If I understand the dice model correctly, each side represents 3 spins, so the formation above consists of 12 spins and this would occur in 9.4% of 12,000 spins. ie: if you divided the 12,000 spins into 12 spin segments, 1,128 of those segments would be 12 spins consisting of 4 sets of 3 unique patterns of spins (but the sets needn't be in the order above). But don't forget the 9.4% is an AVERAGE. You could go further and find the standard deviation, if you wanted to.
"The trouble isn't what we don't know, it's what we think we know that just ain't so!" - Mark Twain

albertojonas

Quote from: ego on Aug 29, 10:21 AM 2012
-

I reduce the selection with 2 attempts ...


May i ask your way of skipping or reducing bets?
thanx

TwoCatSam

Bayes

Thank you.  Naturally I didn't mean "spins".  I will print and study your post also.

NEWSFLASH

"Was he texting when he had the accident?"
"No, he was reading some roulette stuff he had printed out!"

I'm warned!!


Sam
If dogs don't go to heaven, when I die I want to go where dogs go.  ...Will Rogers

ego

Quote from: albertojonas on Aug 29, 04:11 PM 2012

May i ask your way of skipping or reducing bets?
thanks

Well that was nothing special - it was just me to say that i would not use 6 attempts for one full complete cycle.
Just using 4 attempts betting against one full cycle.
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

MuppetMan

Have read this thread and re-read it. Finally starting to make sense. It's difficult to grasp at first. Just my opinion.
I Will have to keep working on understanding.

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