Challange - Brett Morton

[ego]

-

Now Brett Morton claims he wins four out of five session on regular basis.
One among hes method is to use a specific money management strategy that limit him from a sloppy and fuzzy game plan - the engine room.

To understand this topic you have to read the following two topics.

Topic 1
link:://rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=10151.0

Topic 2
link:://rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=3760.0

Now how is that possible winning four session out of five - i have no clue - but i am pretty good with even money bets - so i will give it a try - testing various of selections.
He even say that hes favorite staking plan is parlay - that is hard and cruel.
Because i find it being one of the most difficult staking plan to succeed with.

The challenge is to apply Brett Morton's money management strategy and using the staking plan parlay with is recommendation of bet selection.
He recommend to start to attack after a series of six.

[ego]

Details ...

Brett Morton bet against the previous formation of six using a line flat betting for four attempts.
1 1 1 1
Now if he hit then he will follow the wheel and parlay hes way up to hes win target.

It is fuzzy and there exist no other explanation what i can remember.
So this mean he attack series of six not to become ten in a row - if i loss then only down 4 units.
That is a good sign.

But there exist ways to modify hes strategy's - as playing after a win and save 4 units - but that is a later question - first i will test and see if i can get half of hes claims to work out.

Well more to come ...

[ego]

Now i pick today's random file from random org 2012 09 03

Will just let the parlay run with no money management strategy as i first want to see peaks and drawdowns to understand the variance or strike ratio ...
Three session during 300 trails.

Session 1.

W 1 +1
L  2 -1
W 1 +0
L  2 -2
W 1 -1
L  2 -3
L  1 -4
W 1 -3
W 2 -1
W 3 +2
W 4 +6
W 5 +11
W 6 +17
W 7 +24
W 8 +32
W 9 +41
L 10 +31
W 9 +40
L 10 +30
W 9 +39
L 10 +29
W 9 +38
W 10 +48
L 11 +37
W 10 +47
W 11 +58
L 12 +46
L 11 +35
W 10 +45
L 11 +34
L 10 +24
W 9 +33
W 10 +43

L 11 +32
L 10 +22
L 9 +13
L 8 +5

[ego]

Session 2.

L  1 -1
L  1 -2
W 1 -1
W 2 +1
L  3 -2
W 2 +0
W 3 +3
L 4 -1
L 3 -4
W 2 -2
L 3 -5
W 2 -3
L 3 -6
W 2 -4
W 3 -1
W 4 +3
L 5 -2
W 4 +2
W 5 +7
L 6 +1
L 5 -4
W 4 +0
L 5 -5
W 4 -1
W 5 +4
W 6 +10
L 7 +3
W 6 +9
W 7 +16
L 8 +8
L 7 +1
W 6 +7
W 7 +14
W 8 +22
W 9 +31
W 10 +41
L 11 +30
L 10 +20
W 9 +29
W 10 +39
W 11 +50
W 12 +62
W 13 +75
W 14 +89
W 15 +104
L 16 +98
W 15 +113

L 16 +97
L 15 +82
L 14 +78
L 13 +65

[ego]

Session 3.

W 1 +1
L 2 -1
L 1 -2
W 1 -1
W 2 +1
W 3 +4
W 4 +8
W 5 +13
L 6 +7
L 5 +2
W 4 +6
W 5 +11
W 6 +17
L 7 +10
W 6 +16
W 7 +23
W 8 +31
L 9 +22
L 8 +14
L 7 +7
W 6 +1

L 7 -6
L 6 -12
L 5 -17
L 4 -21

[ego]

I can allready see that if i apply strict MM as Brett Morton describe it i would succeed winning three sessions in a row using hes selection based upon my knowledge.

I will test more and later set up working MM based upon the selection and variance.

Example MM Units.

80 Loss-Limit
10 Bottom-Line-Target
50 Happy-Point
70 Gold-Top
?? Jackpot

Aim for first win target and then push or fall into one safety net sound pretty cool.
On a strike push above Gold-Top and reach Jackpot territories.

[ego]

Now i run next file from random org 2012 09 02

Session 4.

W 1 +1
W 2 +3
L 3 +0
W 2 +2
W 3 +5
W 4 +9
W 5 +14
W 6 +20
L 7 +13
L 6 +7
W 5 +12
L 6 +6
W 5 +11
L 6 +5
W 5 +10
W 6 +16
W 7 +23
W 8 +31
W 9 +40

L 10 +30
L 9 +21
L 8 +13
L 7 +6

[ego]

This is pretty cool as this session lose - so what is the variance regarding bet selection and what is the variance for peaks and drawdowns to build the MM upon.

Session 5.

L 1 -1
L 1 -2
L 1 -3
W 1 -2
L 2 -4
W 1 -3
L 2 -5
L 1 -6
W 1 -7
L 2 -9
W 1 -8

L 2 -10
L 1 -11
L 1 -12
L 1 -13

Well so far 4 out of 5 ...

[ego]

Now i test various of selections and it seems that you at least end up with  50 Euro in every session on regular basis or overall.
Have to test futher before i post suggestion for selections.

So Happy-Point should be 50 Euro - so far ...
That is the average hitting winning four sessions out of five - my opinion or what my testing show ...

Next is to find out how big drawdowns you get during does sessions you aim for a Happy-Point at 50 Euro to set a reasonable Loss-Limit.

So now the MM has empty spot at Loss-Limit values ...

? Loss-Limit
10 Bottom-Line-Target
50 Happy-Point
70 Gold-Top
? Jackpot

[amk]

Thanks Ego for sharing this promising work.


I will stay tuned for sure.

[ego]

Thanks Ego for sharing this promising work.


I will stay tuned for sure.

I will has this as my main topic and update it regularly - but now i am of for work ...

[ego]

I have test different bet selection based upon the previous six.
I have bet with and against using trails and formations.

Conclusion is that you can not win four out of five sessions on regular basis with some regularity.
I test it with the following MM based upon Brett Morton's way doing things.

10 Loss-Limit
3 Bottom-Line-Target
5 Happy-Point
7 Gold-Top
? Jackpot

The best hit ratio i succeed with is winning two session out of three with some regularity.
But i don't know how it performs in the long run.

Will also state that i don't like the staking plan "parlay" it is a hard and cruel staking plan to aim to hit winnings to chop or should i say find a winning bet selection for that purpose.

[ego]

I have test different bet selection based upon the previous six.
I have bet with and against using trails and formations.

Conclusion is that you can not win four out of five sessions on regular basis with some regularity.
I test it with the following MM based upon Brett Morton's way doing things.

10 Loss-Limit
3 Bottom-Line-Target
5 Happy-Point
7 Gold-Top
? Jackpot

The best hit ratio i succeed with is winning two session out of three with some regularity.
But i don't know how it performs in the long run.

Will also state that i don't like the staking plan "parlay" it is a hard and cruel staking plan to aim to hit winnings to chop or should i say find a winning bet selection for that purpose.

Would i say Brett Morton is a lie - no i would not as with some strategys you can hovering around four session out of five - i just don't know if you could do it with regularity.
This is how it could look like during 300 trails.

MM

5 Loss-Limit
1 Bottom-Line-Target
3 Happy-Point
5 Gold-Top
? Jackpot

Result:

+3 Reach Gold-Top at +5 but drop back to Happy-Point +3
+1 Reach Happy-Point at +3 but fall back to Bottom-Line-Target at +1 reaching for Gold-Top
+3 Reach Gold-Top at +5 but drop back to Happy-Point +3
-5  Did not reach Happy-Point and hit Loss-Limit
+5 Reach Gold-Top and 300 trails end so this session would end up with least Happy-Point +3

[iggiv]

bravo Ego!



u always post here very interesting and creative stuff.

thanx man

[TwoCatSam]

iggiv

As long as you don't bring a logical argument against his ideas, your post will stand.  Only those who say, "Hey, wait a minute!" are deleted.

Maybe logic and roulette are mutually exclusive!  Then we're back to Voodoo!!

Having lots of time to do nothing but think while driving six hours a day.  I may post some theories.

Sam