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XXVV ROULETTE

Started by XXVV, Dec 25, 03:57 PM 2012

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XXVV

#6  adding to profit

There are times when you have reached a profit goal, because you must always go the table with a goal, a realistic goal, and you are feeling good and you want to continue. As earlier suggested you may choose to 'cash up' which is my way of saying to myself - I have won - thanks- then you may decide to buy in again and resume play.


What I am describing here is a simplified version of a more complex money management process that is described elsewhere.


I usually go the table with some large cash resources but always, worst case scenario, an amount that should it be lost, will not cause any financial problems. it has to be 'free money', ie money clear of emotional need. It is not money that really should be prioritised elsewhere. You know by now it is a fatal error to use needed money for you will be drinking from a poisoned chalice, sooner or later, with such an approach, because you will be cheating yourself fundamentally.


We need to apply unity of focus and alignment of our levels of consciousness to our goals and 'give our all', in confidence, not in doubt or fear.


So at the table I buy in then take profit in cash chips.


If buying back in I use more cash. I let the pile of cash chips grow.


Then its the matter of the famous 'pocket management'. A proportion of the cash chips go to a left pocket or wallet which remains sacred and not touched, no matter what. I usually split it 50-50.
Then the exposed cash chips are your visible profit which you keep beside you as a talisman of success. The hidden profit is safe.


Buying back in its a fresh start, but as long as the similar mode or tone of the game continues, neutral to friendly, then keep playing to a similar spread. If you are very conservative scale back your unit value and exposure by half and then rebuild.


That is the meek approach.


The 'dragon' approach is to turn up the volume and parlay the bets.


More soon. XXVV

XXVV

#7 The Players Triad at the Heart of Roulette


Timing+ Bet Selection+ Money Management.....this the core and thanks to writers such as VLS, John Patrick and a host of others to be later scheduled, we can focus on a fresh way to understand roulette and we can start to win more consistently. We can believe that we can do it.


Through increasing speed of processing data, there has been major progress in the overview of all casino games, but for some reason roulette has been seen as too difficult for many as there so many variables within variables. So although many are drawn like moths to the flame to witness, be mesmerised, and lose a little more each visit, many simply rationalise that its a form of entertainment and just gamble. That's a choice.


My approach is to now synthesise and simplify from a massive research push that has lasted 20 years. It is a research quest that has ballooned into many dimensions.


For all the technical analysis, and the mazes that confound, there is also the dimension of the Mind. That is an inner dimension full of space and room to explore! Roulette can be a Mind Game and that is a valid path to vastly improve performance and enjoyment.


From these outline notes we will develop several new leads and these will follow shortly.







XXVV

# 8  Mind Games

This sudden lurch to the 'right' may surprise you.


I use the term 'overlay' a lot, because I see layers and layers upon layers, in the nature of reality. So regarding roulette, as already mentioned, the onion skin analogy is useful because you are constantly working to peel away layers to reveal a little more, and gain a further aspect to understanding.


It seems the nature of randomness should be approached with due respect. I have no trouble in acknowledging in reality there is the concept of the 'unknowable'. I love the nature of infinity and especially where material merges into the less tangible.


There will be many readers who are highly skilled, very intelligent, and real researchers, in the scientific manner, and they might term themselves pragmatists, or realists, or even materialists. My argument is that there is always more to life than 'meets the eye'. In fact the old definition of 'what you see is what you get' has never appealed to me. All I would ask is that these smart people allow some 'space' for what might still be unknown or unseen or not able to be so easily quantified or measured.


Some used to say scientists were passionless people with no emotions; cool and clinical; detached. There was a phase when the medical profession produced such personalities as model
practitioners. Not so now. Increasingly a more holistic, a bigger view is needed, and the fallacy of lack of emotion is destroyed when you see the Nobel Prize winners speak and you find the passion in their eyes and hearts to know more.


In fact healing by definition means a holistic approach, and is integrating, while analysis tends to pull apart and dissect. There is room for both approaches of course, and more.


Apply this to roulette.


Lets study our emotions, our responses, our behaviour, our goals and our drives.


Then what about our intuitions and the use of the vast mind powers that we have, yet as at present many do not comprehend or acknowledge this is a direction to be explored.


One of my best friends, and a roulette player of exceptional skill, is by definition a scientist. By his own definition he is 'concrete linear'. Yet what passion he brings to his research and his increasingly skillful application of his knowledge, and with what amazement he announces to me that sometimes his intuition advises the next number that will be spun. And sure enough there it is.


One definition of intuition is that of reason, taken to the nth degree (in the mathematical sense).


You can see that with a vast sum of knowledge and experience, in rare moments of clarity, an answer will leap out at us; a quantum leap literally, because it crosses time.


So one of the key titles I am looking to incorporate into our professional roulette work is that of focus and the use of our intuitive abilities, to overlay upon and within our more technical rational work.


More detail on this soon. Best XXVV


XXVV

#9 The Trap Bet

Don't you just love this term. Its been a mystery to me for years and there have been many hours of study and wonder as just what is meant by this.


It came clear to me just a short while ago, and it was through live play, trial and error, that I found the principles. This is one definition and others of course will have alternatives if they have gone along this path.


It is a journey, and like all adventures, has its highs and lows. Many many times have I emerged crestfallen from an earlier anticipation or hope that turned out to be just another mirage in the sand.


But this time its all changed because this works and in applying the principles I will set out, you will be able to construct your own traps, and experiment, as hunters, like me.


I guess you have to have a framework; a mental construct of the various means you have to spot opportunities. The analogy of the hunter is appropriate because you have to know the ways, the flows, the routes by which opportunities, your prey, will regularly travel upon.


Then you set your trap and you wait.


So, identify frequent happenings and short cycle patterns within random sequences of live roulette spin outcomes.


I will give you two simple but favourite examples of mine. These are so simple you may yawn, but under certain circumstances they are much more likely to unfold in the direction you want.


So you observe a circumstance. Then you anticipate a predictable outcome. So you set your trap to catch the prey. What makes the difference in making this opportunity better than a 1 in 4 risk. It is in the 'reading' of the game and the context, ie prior outcomes and 'dominant' short term cycles. We are going with the flow, not against it.


So here is example one.  After a zero is hit I will often go to cover 34 and neighbours. Of course we fondly recall all the times this works, and probably easily let go the events that do not succeed as we forecast, but this circumstance is more frequent when the wheel results are favouring a dominance of one side of the wheel, ie what I term the A and B wheel sections, being zero neighbours and moving on to 17 and co.


Given that short cycle, or examples already within a short cycle of say 60 -100 spins it is worth a one spin cover bet targeting say 7-9 numbers, as well as the zero repeat of course.


So many times that trap has worked for me and as 34 is so far away from zero on the table it seems even more dramatic when it happens!


The other example is the simple reversal 13, 31 and vice versa or neighbours.


Again it is a switch B and D sections of the nine number wheel sections I utilise, and the jump moves across the wheel, and is easy to cover on the table particularly with corner and street bets.
So many times this happens, and of course it comes in clusters which are a phenomenon of random behaviour like little whirling eddies of energy in the stream. The trap is easy to set. The neighbours of 31 or 13 depending which direction but double bets on the principal target, the reversal.


These are elementary examples but will give you great satisfaction when you can achieve the coup. I have seen times when they bounce back and forth and you can load up the corner bet chips very aggressively.


Other trap bets can be much more complex but I will cover these later with more detailed examples.

XXVV

#10  Efficient Bet

Much speculation on this subject but really the definition is quite simple. LoL.


A bet that can achieve the maximum return for the minimum cost, so as to achieve optimum leverage with minimal risk.




# 11 Trigger Points

These are situations where a signal is provided to either start or stop an operation such as the execution of a trap bet.




#12  Ecart

This is a term for Deviation, one of two forces at work in a series of roulette spin outcomes. The other force is Equilibrium or Balance. Like many polarities in nature, they are aspects of the same continuum.


Statistical Ecart is a measure, on flat staking, and on EC bets, the degree of success of a method with 6.0 being the ultimate  success benchmark.
It is measured by dividing the number units won by the square root of the number of placed bets to achieve that win.


In practical terms we are looking to accurately read the state of the Ecart in a short cycle. Is the dominant force at work one of deviation further, or a correction to achieve balance. Reading of direction is thus a key call.


By understanding the bet characteristics of the bet you have engineered, ie by knowing the parameters to which the Ecart will extend usually, you will be able to make an accurate judgement as to state of the Ecart at any given time within a bet cycle.




#13  Moving Average/ Moving Sum

This is a very useful and often simple device for measuring the state of the Ecart in swing, either positive or negative.


The sum is the easier device as it is fast and requires simply adding the sum of the results, ie last three spaces between wins. Note this calculation is what I term one degree of separation transformation in reading results. You study spaces between wins, not spins themselves.


Over a short cycle you can re-asses the moving sum win by win. You may recall my thread on the nine number bet and the moving sum measure there as a trigger for attack or retreat.


If the sum is moving lower and especially below a predetermined benchmark, then this is a signal to attack. If over the benchmark and growing in size this a useful sign to pause the attack and wait for further signs.




XXVV

#14 What is Roulette

Lets change focus for a minute and look at the bigger picture.


I have just watched an amazing interview with the fabulous American Composer Philip Glass. His insights into the nature of music and his interactions and collaborations with David Bowie and Brian Eno and so many others are legendary. Lets paraphrase an answer he gave. What is the true nature of roulette?


Why, its a place.

Sometimes it takes a metaphorical leap to see things more clearly. And yes this is the place, the location, the detail, the character, the ups and downs, and here are the people, there are the streets, its a city and its a country, and its a world, on all levels.


Well, lets get to know this place and learn to love it, because its a home of sorts and has that emotional connection and familiarity. Its a place we can visit at will and then when we want a holiday or a change, we go somewhere else. But on many levels, there it is. Its a place.


Its a lot of abstract thought made manifest.


Its one way we have of dealing with randomness, whether you see that in a Divine Light or in a natural  way, on the edge of chaos type life, or both, or more.


Next step we will swing into something simple, linear and concrete, I promise.




XXVV

 #15  A place called Roulette


Yes Roulette is a place as real as London, Sydney or New York. It can be a country lane in sleepy Dorset or a desert track across a stony plain, or a lush vineyard on the Marlborough slopes. Name it and its yours. This is the power of our imagination and the metaphor is an interesting tool.


So the level of detail or big picture overview is over to you. Its your choice and you have the ability to travel and move and focus as you select. Imagine the detailed satellite shot then the zooming in detail and the ability to move and track as you visualise. All this upon and within the layers of the roulette theory and roulette application environment, the casino, and the generated sequence of spin outcomes and the 'music' they generate.


Is it noise, white noise, chaos, or can you make sense of those signals; can you bring some order and meaning to it; or music. Perhaps in some short passages, and sometimes longer. But the analogies are useful because they help us see from a different angle.


These principles can be applied in many areas of creative life, but in this case into the layers and applications of roulette.




XXVV

# 16  The Smart Bet

The characteristics of the smart bet :


# simplicity


# higher return relative to cost


# forgiving


# efficient


# fast




The bet needs to be simple , clear and unambiguous. Easy to place for the player under time pressure and in a stressful situation.


The forgiving nature is illustrated by the scenario where the player, under pressure, makes an error, or is timed out before placing this target bet. No worries as the opportunity will swing around very soon after. So we are not awaiting a bet trigger that is a rare event.


Efficiency is a key component with a smoothness of operation involving speed, simplicity, clarity, understanding, pleasure, and effectiveness. The bet return is significant and is a fine reward for effort. The analogy with smart design and engineering precision is true. All waste effort is pruned away, just like a castellated beam.


The winning coup is such that it may be part of a short series of wins, to enable a parlay or leverage when the tone of the session is appropriate. It is prudent to take profit in short three part winning series outcomes.



XXVV

# 17   Testing

In developing a new bet always use real live spins from a reputable land based casino - such as data from Spielbank Wiesbaden, or from live records that you have yourself faithfully recorded. Note that live screens can be faulty at the casino so always validate by your own witnessing.


The German casinos are so meticulous they offer a time of spin record as well. Use the Google translation to check detail options.


Always ideally mark the end of a session on data records, and do not cross over and interlink the spin numbers from one session to another.


Pure mathematicians might argue the number sequences are seamless but in practical critical terms this is untrue. The Ecart is a critical measure in terms of trending in a session and to combine several sessions will give false readings.


I have live data from London ( Ritz) , German ( Wiesbaden, Hamburg), US (Vegas), Australian (Sydney, Gold Coast and Launceston), Macao, and NZ ( Auckland, Queenstown, Christchurch) casinos.
'
This material is so valuable and is used frequently by me. Sometimes when you read remarkable books on Roulette, such as that by Martin Blakey, the end spin data is seamless from his 25,000 spins at Launceston. He is a mathematician.  That a writer does not see sessions as discrete demonstrates to me they have no understanding of the sensitivity and importance of Ecart swings or they just use the data for illustrative purposes ( fair enough) but in so doing huge powerful opportunities in illustration and detail teaching are lost.


Roulette is a game of short cycles that offer short term imbalance opportunities. We seize upon those as professional players. The Casino makes its money from long term smoothing of result data into statistical probability expectation, ie a -2.7% edge to them on the French Wheel.




XXVV

#18  Key to beat the game of Roulette


Runs and trends in short term results. Research EC combinations, ie RO/BE  and  BO/RE
This topic will be re-visited along with a review of the work of LG Holloway "Full-Time Gambler".
This work will continue next week after travel is completed and ongoing work with the new website is furthered.

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