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Started by warrior, Jan 04, 08:11 PM 2014

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0 Members and 3 Guests are viewing this topic.

warrior

If you win flat bet 100 units on 4000 paced bets would this be a wining bet.

warrior

Lets say 15 units is the lowest draw down and 19 the highest wins would this be a winning bet?

TwoCatSam

I would certainly play it.
If dogs don't go to heaven, when I die I want to go where dogs go.  ...Will Rogers

amk


Skakus

Quote from: warrior on Jan 04, 08:11 PM 2014
If you win flat bet 100 units on 4000 paced bets would this be a wining bet.

Of course it is!

Just don't make another 4000 bets because the answer could be very different.  :thumbsup:
A ship moored in the harbour is safe, but that's not what ships are made for.

warrior

Quote from: Skakus on Jan 04, 10:19 PM 2014
Of course it is!

Just don't make another 4000 bets because the answer could be very different.  :thumbsup:
This is true but what formula would you use for a stop-win not loss?
Also if you can find a way to put more money when your bet is winning and protect your profits when the bets are losing then you have  a good bet I would think .

Azim

Quote from: warrior on Jan 04, 10:25 PM 2014
This is true but what formula would you use for a stop-win not loss?
Also if you can find a way to put more money when your bet is winning and protect your profits when the bets are losing then you have  a good bet I would think .

I would first have to know a few things before answering your question:

However for starters here is what I do:"(everyone has their own comfort level)"
This is me playing:
Aim to play +/-300 spins.
I start with a session bankroll of 600 Units.(Willing to lose it all, have faith in my own ability or the bot playing).

I end my session with a win of +200 units or lose all 600 units or +/- 300 spins, whichever comes first.
If I am at 300th spin and I have been betting, I carry on till I either win the current trigger or lose my current session bankroll. (I know my triggers take 10-12 spins and I normally hit by the 3rd spin which means 15 playing spins)
300 - 15 = 285. If my last win was 285 spins or above, my session just ended.

I decide if I reach +150 units in less than 150 spins, I take a new session bankroll(600 units) and start again.( If I lose I really have only lost 450 Units).

If I win 150 units again before the 150th spin, I loop again to start a new session.

Which means my wins are really not 200 unit's they are more.

The reason why i do this is 2 fold's: 

1) I am lucky on that day and am taking advantage of my luck.
2) If I am playing RNG (which I do most of the time), I go to my first point and say, the Random Generator and my luck have both matched and I take advantage of it with the systems I am playing.

Like I said, everyone has their own comfort level.


With right tools and good money management, any gambling activity can produce a steady income.

warrior

Quote from: Skakus on Jan 04, 10:19 PM 2014
Of course it is!

Just don't make another 4000 bets because the answer could be very different.  :thumbsup:

Ok 4000 more bets  and 37 unit profit grand total of 137 units 8000 placed bets flat bet ,17 is the most drawn down and 19 the highest would any of you play this ? And how .

warrior

If 17 is the lowest and 19 the highest  how would you put a formula to this?

warrior

Wow not one response.

Big EZ

When you say 17 is the lowest, does that mean your longest losing run?
Quitting while your ahead is not the same as quitting

warrior

Quote from: Big EZ on Jan 21, 08:54 AM 2014
When you say 17 is the lowest, does that mean your longest losing run?
Yes in one session.

Big EZ

I personally would not try and use a progression on an even chance bet selection that losses 17 times in a row..

Do you have other stats that can help break down the variance of your method?
.


Quitting while your ahead is not the same as quitting

warrior

Quote from: Big EZ on Jan 21, 10:49 AM 2014
I personally would not try and use a progression on an even chance bet selection that losses 17 times in a row..

Do you have other stats that can help break down the variance of your method?
.


It's not losing 17 in a row .This is for a session, session last for about 2 hours 51 placed bets ,this thread is for brainstorming how would you improve these stats, 8000 placed bets 17 is the lowest and 19 being the highest.

warrior

I will post the losing  session later on so you can exam it and see how you would make it better.In the mean time we can all think about this one .

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