Random Thoughts

[maestro]

falkor is just observation i am not claiming is giving anything, do not get me wrong

[falkor2k15]

Yeah, you naughty man, you've given away the Holy Grail!  Priyanka is going to be fuming at you!!   

Really, if only I could understand you guys... I still can't figure out how we go from cycles to straights? Is it based on a parallel stream, such as positions, or not? Or is it simply about stitching?

[maestro]

falkor you better get medical check...

[falkor2k15]

Well, I just tried for 3 hours to beat VdW, but failed... I cannot find any connection between AP and WL result that might lead to edge. There's no reducing wins/losses either. And I don't know how Priyanka was able to make the WL stats on paper. It's all one big mystery!

[RayManZ]

Well you could run the stats by hand...

It's just playing every posible scenario.

So:
111 = 1W
1222= 2W
112 = 1L
11222 = 1LW
ect...

In total there are 512 posible scenario's that end in a win or los.

I thought maybe somebody was clever enough to make a calculation for something like this...

[falkor2k15]

RayManZ, I think it's too complicated... and I doubt knowing that formula can help us gain edge - it only reinforces the 50/50 result both through sim and on paper.

If there's no connection between AP and WL result then it's really not worth playing VdW because that only leaves traditional dispersion killing to avoid variance. The only other possibility is that it might work in parallel with cycles.

[falkor2k15]

W â€" 256 times
L â€" 48 times
LW â€" 104 times
LL â€" 32 times
LLW â€" 36 times
LLL â€" 16 times
LLLW â€" 10 times
LLLL â€" 10 times

I reckon we could play these as deficit recovery till they are in the following ascending order based on win total for each group:

W > LW > L > (LLW + LL) > LLL > (LLLW + LLLL)

Probably just the top 3 should suffice. We just play whichever main groups is trailing behind, as stitched bets, till they shuffle to that order. "L" parts will require opposite bets. The outcomes are not equally likely and the cost to play them as stitched groups is the same.

[praline]

“A dozen on the carpet, a dozen on the wheel, a selection of 12 numbers that changes constantly. Are they different? Do these bet selections result in changes to your predictions or the distribution?”

Yes and yes.

[falkor2k15]

My 2017 answer to this question:

Distribution: a dozen on carpet, wheel or as changing numbers all have the same distribution/stats. I tested last 18 numbers as EC before and the stats were the same as normal EC.
Predictability: the above bet selection is irrelevant since predictability is based on seeing the game with a non-random lens: defined limits > dependency > bias

[falkor2k15]

But then limits are not defined based on payout odds; they are defined based on fixed bet selections?

[falkor2k15]

Perhaps all fixed/changing bet selections of same/different payout odds could have limits applied to them in terms of "same" and "different" - otherwise a repeat is only guaranteed on fixed bet selections?

[falkor2k15]

BTW, "same" and "different" represents a parallel stream; as long as there's a limit imposed on at least one of the streams then I think anything is possible.

[bigmoney]

Falkor ....you are close to unlocking the code .
.man .....and soon i will buy a new porsche ...and have
FALKOR  numbers plates....move over priyanka....roulette cc has a new  rising star...yee har you beauty...you ripper .....GIDDY UP

[falkor2k15]

I would never buy a car anymore... more stress than it's worth. Truth and understanding reality is the most important thing - not money. I've got everything I've ever wanted and my retirement is already planned - if I live that long.

I don't want fame or to replace Priyanka as the guru... but I just don't like having only myself to talk to on this amazing journey.

I believe that unlocking the code is only one test away, but I'm in no rush to fire up the simulator or head to Las Vegas and face all that adversity... 

bigmoney, you can already afford to have number plates with my name on it...?

[bigmoney]

Hey falkor thats true i can afford the numbers with your name on it but i cant afford the porsche matey ...good luck ...buddy