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When The Player Has The Edge Progression Quiz

Started by The General, Apr 11, 09:15 PM 2018

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0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

Roulettebeater

Quote from: psimoes on Apr 12, 09:09 AM 2018
Thats not what im saying. Youve got to have a 'verified' positive  edge in the first place.
Hoe to get it and verify it, thats a good question. Waiting for the generals answer though i dont think it the main point of this thread. Lets see.


Yeah!!
"The general" is busy, didn't you see what the sexymilf telling him in the photo above ? She's telling him :

"Wanna f*ck baby?"
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

psimoes

Milf? And here was thinking shes old enough to be my granddaughter. Shes a pretty sexy young lady then. The gen must be checking her for defects to see if hes got an edge before going all in. Haha
Anyway heres waiting for the quiz results
[Math+1] beats a Math game

Roulettebeater

Quote from: psimoes on Apr 12, 10:01 AM 2018
Milf? And here was thinking shes old enough to be my granddaughter. Shes a pretty sexy young lady then. The gen must be checking her for defects to see if hes got an edge before going all in. Haha  :xd:
Anyway heres waiting for the quiz result

Haha
General's eDICKdge isn't big enough for a penetration.... he has only 6 inch ! edge -:)
:xd:
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

DoctorSudoku

Quote from: Roulettebeater on Apr 12, 09:12 AM 2018

Yeah!!
"The general" is busy, didn't you see what the sexy milf telling him in the photo above ? She's telling him :

"Wanna f*ck baby?"


Milf -- that's a milf in your eyes?

Your perceptions of women are every bit as screwed up as are your perceptions of gambling.
What is the fastest way of destroying your bankroll at the casino?

Play roulette with GLC's progressions.

The General

Quote1. The player flat bets $50 every spin on the top numbers.

2. The player bets 1% of his bankroll distributed over his best numbers?  (His initial bet is only $10 in total.)

3. A player that runs an aggressive up as you lose betting progression 5,10,20,40,80,100,200?

Number one, two, or three?

Player one very likely went broke.  A bankroll of only 1k would have been insufficient.  If his bankroll was in the neighborhood of 15 to 20k and  If he did survive the fluctuations of variance then the player would have won about 30k

Player three very likely would have gone bust as well.  The garish progression would have required a bankroll in the neighborhood of 60 to 70k.   A 1k bankroll would have been utterly insufficient.  Had the player been successful he could have won around 137k.

Player two is the real winner. Using a realistic bankroll of only 1k the player would have won around 403k



Basic probability and The General are your friend.
(Now hiring minions, apply within.)

The General

Using the same progression, betting just one percent of the a 1k bankroll, on the biased wheel from earlier in the other thread...The next 9389 spins would have yielded an astounding win of    1,789,631,248,080  .  Of course there's no way the casino would allow the colossal bets that would be taking place later in the progression.  Also, the edge on that biased wheels was significantly larger than only 6%.
   


QuoteNumber Hits                Frequency          Standard Deviation

37      183   0   183   38.35519126   -0.127548358
27      180   0   180   38.99444444   -0.351248556
10      179   0   179   39.2122905   -0.425815289
25      203   0   203   34.57635468   1.363786294
29      157   0   157   44.70700637   -2.066283406
12      192   0   192   36.55729167   0.543552235
8      167   0   167   42.02994012   -1.32061608
19      199   0   199   35.27135678   1.065519363
31      237   0   237   29.61603376   3.899055202
18      209   0   209   33.58373206   1.811186689
6      163   0   163   43.06134969   -1.61888301
21      180   0   180   38.99444444   -0.351248556
33      191   0   191   36.7486911   0.468985502
16      220   0   220   31.90454545   2.631420748
4      221   0   221   31.760181   2.70598748
23      140   0   140   50.13571429   -3.33391786
35      154   0   154   45.57792208   -2.289983604
14      156   0   156   44.99358974   -2.140850139
2      170   0   170   41.28823529   -1.096915882
0      205   0   205   34.23902439   1.512919759
28      197   0   197   35.62944162   0.916385898
9      187   0   187   37.53475936   0.170718572
26      197   0   197   35.62944162   0.916385898
30      179   0   179   39.2122905   -0.425815289
11      178   0   178   39.43258427   -0.500382021
7      141   0   141   49.78014184   -3.259351128
20      253   0   253   27.743083   5.092122923
32      192   0   192   36.55729167   0.543552235
17      177   0   177   39.65536723   -0.574948754
5      161   0   161   43.59627329   -1.768016476
22      159   0   159   44.14465409   -1.917149941
34      190   0   190   36.94210526   0.39441877
15      153   0   153   45.87581699   -2.364550336
3      164   0   164   42.79878049   -1.544316278
24      240   0   240   29.24583333   4.1227554
36      187   0   187   37.53475936   0.170718572
13      166   0   166   42.28313253   -1.395182813
1      192   0   192   36.55729167   0.543552235
                 
Total      7019   0   7019     
                 
High      253   0   253      5.092122923
Low      140   0   140      -3.33391786
                 
Chance of                 
random (1/x)      1.21202E+13      1.21202E+13     
Chi square      139.5037755      139.5037755     
                 
Average      184.7105263   0   184.7105263     
Break even      194.9722222   0   194.9722222     
                 
80% hi conf.      218.2375418   0   218.2375418     
95% hi conf.      224.9429449   0   224.9429449     
80% low conf.      151.1835108   0   151.1835108     
95% low conf.      144.4781077   0   144.4781077     
                 
Best ratio      27.743083      27.743083     
Worst ratio      50.13571429      50.13571429   
Basic probability and The General are your friend.
(Now hiring minions, apply within.)

psimoes

wow

I´ve read about pros losing their minds in a good sense about some 0,5% edge on some wheel. 6% is then quite a lot.
[Math+1] beats a Math game

The General

Actually a 6% edge is a very small edge for an AP.
Basic probability and The General are your friend.
(Now hiring minions, apply within.)

Roulettebeater

Quote from: DoctorSudoku on Apr 12, 12:24 PM 2018erceptions of women are every bit as screwed up as are your perceptions of gambling.

Dr.
If you have a broken heart because of a previous relation, you shouldn't understimate women!
That "chicca" is a little milf, she could be an escort too... worst case she's a roulette dealer at 666casino and she's calling 'the generals' : wanna win on roulette ? wanna fu*k?  then come to my table
:xd:

-:)
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

Roulettebeater



This is Live at the table and with comparable quality  :thumbsup:

Place your bets please !  :twisted:
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

psimoes

[Math+1] beats a Math game

psimoes

Quote from: The General on Apr 12, 01:38 PM 2018
Actually a 6% edge is a very small edge for an AP.

OK. Just to be clear, a 6% advantage in this case was calculated with the house already beaten, right? Like having an edge of 8.7% or 11.27% over a no zero wheel...?
[Math+1] beats a Math game

psimoes

I can´t code :) so I simulated 1000 spins on a "negatively biased wheel" manually. Quite simple but enlightning I think.

Flat bet 1 unit on dozen 1 and 1 unit on dozen 2, every spin. I spin manually and everytime nrs 35 and 36 hit I hit "undo" and spin another number. So these two numbers never show up, the total numbers are effectively 35, and the player gets 36 units payed. An edge of 2,85% in favour of the player.
Result: 60 units before 1000 spins, just by flat betting on the double dozens  :)

[Math+1] beats a Math game

psimoes

I also noted a curious and irritating thing: the numbers 35 and 36 kept hitting like crazy, despite being deleted from the marquee. It´s like the rng was forcing them to hit and so much they kept appearing annoyingly above expectation.

Here´s the numbers stats

[Math+1] beats a Math game

Roulettebeater

Today i had a risky adventure, i was playing live roulette and made some good money, my target was 30k.
at a certain point of time i went above 30k, it was running great so i wanted to place my last bet.
suddenly dealer shift took place, despite that i was determined to place my last bet, so i placed my bet... the new dealer came with a lot of unluck..my bet lost, i place the second bet, it lost too, third, fourth lost !

after the fourth bet, i thought a bit and made 2 minutes break, then came back and placed one big bet... hopefuly it won and my balance returned to bit over 30k.

it was a lesson for me to not be greedy...but thx goodness i ended in safe!
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

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