Building systems around RARE EVENTS that never happen in your lifetime

[Steve]

I've updated link:s://:.roulettephysics.com/roulette-strategy/ with the following:

FICTION: You can build a system around a "rare event" that you'll never see in your lifetime

Another common mistake is believing you can use progression to win before a "rare event" happens. It's incorrect because the odds still haven't changed. Your perception of a "rare" event is actually something that will eventually happen in enough spins.

For example, you may have never seen these winning numbers in a row: 1,2,3,4,5. But chances are you've never seen this sequence either: 32,4,18,9,1. If you see enough spins, they will happen exactly the same amount of times. Each sequence is just as rare as the other.

Another example is expecting you'll never see 37 different numbers appear in 37 spins. Firstly, it will happen just as often as any other sequence of 37 spins. So why would you favor one group of 37 numbers over another 37 numbers? There is no difference at all. Each spin is independent and with the same odds. It's exactly the same as expecting to never see four reds in a row (RRRR). It may occur less often than a mixed sequence like BRRB or RBRB, but the odds of any specific sequence happening are exactly the same. So thinking one sequence is more rare than another is delusion.

Put another way, imagine waiting many years to see the spin sequence 1,2,3,4,5. It seems really rare, and you bet that #6 wont spin next. But actually the odds of #6 spinning next are the same as any other number.  Run some proper simulations and you'll see no matter how you play it, you cannot change your odds by betting that rare events wont happen.

Everyone needs to carefully read link:s://:.roulettephysics.com/roulette-strategy/ and you might save yourself a few years of wasted time. It explains all the common mistakes.

[The General]

Steve,

Oh my, this isn't going to go over well.   They are going to crucify you, burn you, drown you, something bad.  Repent!  Tell them that you're wrong after carefully reviewing thinGs.




















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[Steve]

Beneath my office is a secret room.

[atlantis]

[Roulettebeater]

Steve, why you bothering yourself by writing something like that !

The guys are doing great with their rare event system and making money, you are so idealist, you belive in ideal conditions, life is sometimes runs out of ideal conditions and the guys are approfiting from these conditions

[ZERO]

Steve,

Oh my, this isn't going to go over well.   They are going to crucify you, burn you, drown you, something bad.  Repent!  Tell them that you're wrong after carefully reviewing thinGs.

No, they will just feel the same as you did about this post: link:s://:.rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=20198.msg196901;topicseen 

[psimoes]

In case someone doesn't yet see the point, it should be added the winning sequences are equally as rare as the losing ones.

[Steve]

Steve, why you bothering yourself by writing something like that !

The guys are doing great with their rare event system and making money, you are so idealist, you belive in ideal conditions, life is sometimes runs out of ideal conditions and the guys are approfiting from these conditions

Why bother? To help prevent people wasting their time and money. To help prevent them being a casinos fool.

And theres a big difference between ideal conditions, and an edge. We're not on the same page.

You can win with a losing system with luck. Most people using the same system will lose. That's not a winning system. Its ignorance and the casinos goldmine. With an edge, the odds turn in the players favor. Its a very different thing.

If you understand what I've said, you'll understand the rare event players are deluded. Its not my opinion. Its reality and you either do or don't understand it.

Even the martingale player can do well for a while before coming back to the drawing board

[Steve]

And as i keep saying, this is all really old news. The ignorance really concerns me because the truth is ignored or not understood, even when it's in peoples faces. Losing money is one thing. But actually im more concerned that the ignorance here is a sample of global ignorance about more important things.

Even when people's faces are slapped, they still dont get it. I really don't understand the ignorance. Is it laziness, stubborness, lack of intelligence, just not understanding or what?

Dont people understand their new idea is actually ancient rubbish tried a million times before?

Why not listen to reason and understand what's being said?

[Blueprint]

Another example is expecting you'll never see 37 different numbers appear in 37 spins. Firstly, it will happen just as often as any other sequence of 37 spins.

Won’t happen. 

[The General]

Won’t happen. 

Yes it can happen.

Slot machines are a viable option for many people, and you can earn points towards the buffet.

[RouletteGhost]

Yes it can happen.

Slot machines are a viable option for many people, and you can earn points towards the buffet.

When did this become a slot machine promotion forum

[RouletteGhost]

Steve you are ruining your own forum. Just so ya know.

People that make systems for hobby don’t care

Stop ruining your forum

You are giving General what he wants. An old bitter man who can’t find biased wheels in this day and age

Why are you doing this? You are making me laugh lately

[RouletteGhost]

Steve is saying this everyday now

So logic tells me he has a system forum for one reason. Why even have a system forum if you are going to say this everyday. LOL. Having something that you hate? Doesn’t make sense. Sell the forum.

Have a roulette system forum and then bash it. Makes sense!

To bet selection i go

And seriously, honestly, wheel bias is bullshit

[Winner]

Steve is saying this everyday now

So logic tells me he has a system forum for one reason. Why even have a system forum if you are going to say this everyday. LOL. Having something that you hate? Doesn’t make sense. Sell the forum.

Have a roulette system forum and then bash it. Makes sense!

To bet selection i go

And seriously, honestly, wheel bias is bullshit

RG honestly if you were selling roullette computers this would be  a way to promote it .people get  fustrated and there last resort would be a computer.