Can Parachuting help?

[MoneyT101]

If you'd like to have a play around with the streams dependency then I've uploaded the spreadsheet, which is based on 1 million spins (can take a while to filter):
Download spreadsheet...

Are you stupid?

No seriously!  Are you stupid?  I get sharing that with someone you worked with on this but you’re a 'xxxxxxxxxxxx
I feel your frustration but dont use name calling as a counter argument
Turner

You still don’t have the right game and honestly I hope you don’t find it cause you have no appreciation for hard work!

Ii

[falkor2k15]

Are you stupid?

No seriously!  Are you stupid?  I get sharing that with someone you worked with on this but you’re a dumbass.

You still don’t have the right game and honestly I hope you don’t find it cause you have no appreciation for hard work!

Nope - I'm not stupid for sharing things - it's the people I share things with who are stupid:

They've got no appreciation for truth and reality.

[Blueprint]

"There is one consistent theme, and that is simplicity. I have the ability to simplify a problem and identify a solution."
Sam Zell

That won't be found on this thread or any of yours - guaranteed.

[Scarface]

When a solution is found for something, it does always look very simple in hindsight.  Like, why did it take someone so long to figure this out

[falkor2k15]

These parachute levels with reduced losses are quite useful for being able to target an event - and at the same time soften the recovery further when missed. Some can even take you back to the previous level. Therefore, in this strategy they are quite important despite not being able to fully recover like a double stitched or parlayed win.

[falkor2k15]

This is an interesting comparison...


The 2-hit LCL2 appears to benefit from having High-Low hedged with it! I'm wondering if that one bet might even be edge?

[falkor2k15]

Same here... this bet looks like edge:

[falkor2k15]

Those ratios were not quite right, as there's still a chance that on the first bet you won't hit both but only 1 (with reduced losses). Therefore, I've updated the charts with *rough* ratios, as I don't know how to calculate hedged bets.

I've also dropped Quads from the strategy because they are too difficult to play, so now am getting ready to devise a final set of parachute levels based on all these:

[falkor2k15]

This triple hedge can go up to 2.75:1 - but is still not as good as the double hedges:



The only advantage is reduced losses on 3 outcomes instead of 2 outcomes.

[falkor2k15]

Have been having a deep think for most of the day on how to devise this strategy exactly. I've dropped number cycles for now since events such as CL2 have only 7% chance - may never encounter during a session.

I was thinking of playing all groups simultaneously then I realised that not only does this break the bank quite quickly (opposite to what this topic is trying to achieve), but the direction of one group has an effect on the direction of another group (so we only need to bet one at a time unless recovering) - something we can measure and decide weather to parachute or not. First test:

HL CL1 x 5+ in a row

Dozen Cycles - normal stats

33%
44%
22%

Dozen Cycles - HL CL1 x 5

55%
39%
6%

Line Cycles - normal stats

16.7%
27.8%
27.7%
18.6%
7.7%
1.5%

Line Cycles - HL CL1 x 5

31%
38%
21%
7%
3%
0%

Street Cycles - normal stats

8.30%
15.36%
19.08%
19.08%
15.91%
11.00%
6.59%
3.11%
1.18%
0.32%
0.06%
0.01%

Street Cycles - HL CL1 x 5

14%
23%
23%
17%
11%
6%
3%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%

This shows that while Dozens CL2 remains below expectation to match High-Low, Lines and Streets CL2-3 have increased! This is what I expected for Dozens - but NOT what I expected for Lines and Streets.

[falkor2k15]

Strange...

[falkor2k15]

Oops... correction:

[falkor2k15]

[falkor2k15]

[RouletteGhost]

WHAT THE FU CK ARE YOU TALKING ABOUT