Can Parachuting help?

[falkor2k15]

This is ingenious... won one out of two LCL2 attempts in-between DCL2 opportunities, thereby extending level 2 parachute and only having to spend 4 units instead of 6 to win the level. So we have to keep both CL2s at bay in case we have to move away from dozens completely - we want less of a distribution of LCL2s in the long run. Later, there should be an opportunity to go back a recovery level depending on early LCL2 successes during the level 3-5 Dozen stages.

[falkor2k15]

Even better... just 2 units!



And I love it when this happens:

[falkor2k15]

Here I switched event target on level 4 and parachuted to lines (instead of stitching dozens) then went back to level 3 after winning:


Dozen cycles has to be on spin 1 and Lines and to be on spin 2, otherwise majority of time will stick to normal level 4 where both dozens and lines are on spin 1.

[falkor2k15]

Here we got a level 5 back to level 4:

[falkor2k15]

I risked too many units on the last scenario - it should have recovered with less than 10 units:

[falkor2k15]

Oh my dayz.... check out this level 7 parachute - half dozens and half lines! 

[falkor2k15]

This level 9 parachute is the wrong bet because it's a repeat of level 8 requiring more units than necessary. So now I need to reflect back and look for a proper level 9 parachute that uses somewhere around 35 units - might need to bring in the streets. There was also one DCL2 earlier in the session that was unable to be taken advantage of.

[falkor2k15]

Incidentally, that level 9 managed to recover by itself through identical bets:


Following that it then went up to 9K by the end of the 10K spins dataset:


Pretty impressive!!

[Turner]

to answer the question....yes....shortly after this picture. It will help a great deal.

[MoneyT101]

to answer the question....yes....shortly after this picture. It will help a great deal.

😂😂😂😂😂😂

[falkor2k15]

So we know that Line cycles is an even split between CL2-CL3, but CL3 is kind of favoured because CL3-6 has more chance than CL1-2, so we expect a cycle to go to CL3-6 and then repeat on CL3 for the most part. Regardless, any option is break even... just we don't want to be waiting around for too long choosing lower ratio options.


Now, the interesting thing is that Dozens CL2 is dependent on Lines CL2 more than any other outcome, so when we parachute we need to bet Lines CL2 instead of CL3. However, there are 2 types of CL2 on the lines - open or closed:
154
or
144
etc.

Unfortunately, it's an equal split between the two - but for CL3+ it sides more on closed; CL1 sides more on open.

Just to make sure I will need to re-test those stats later after completing the parachute plan on the dozens - in case it pushes towards CL1 or CL3 in more extreme situations (doubtful).

I'm pretty sure that's the HG, folks! Hence columns or red/black is not going to help us much - and why "modular" is such a revered concept. Finally... after 3 years... 

So the dependency is not based on time - but on the same spin only!

Soon I am going to bring in High-Low, Quads, Streets and Numbers to continue this project - currently analysing stats based on the above:


I'll leave you with some nice quotes:

"The dependency is not related to individual spins however."

"So further streams are necessary in order for a dependency to be involved such that a bias can manifest."

"The dependency comes from the fact that dozens are related to lines, lines are related to streets and streets being related to numbers. Taking birthday paradox, if we say we had two unique dozens in two spins, it also means we had two unique streets or lines or numbers in two spins."

"It is creating a dependence between two of your playing streams so that you are more likely to enter one of the playing streams at the point where it will yield positive expectation."

[MoneyT101]

Yes it’s obvious and you don’t need to look at all of those streams to see it.   

Also you’ve posted enough info with that image.... stop trying to ruin the game for everyone!

Go make your money and stop telling everyone in an open forum

[Blueprint]

Yes it’s obvious and you don’t need to look at all of those streams to see it.   

Also you’ve posted enough info with that image.... stop trying to ruin the game for everyone!

Go make your money and stop telling everyone in an open forum

Lol. As if he has a clue.  He can’t even follow his own nonsense.

[MoneyT101]

Lol. As if he has a clue.  He can’t even follow his own nonsense.

Send me a message!

Btw I hope everyone thinks this way when they read it.

[falkor2k15]

Lol. As if he has a clue.  He can’t even follow his own nonsense.

Jon, what are you on!?

Yes it’s obvious and you don’t need to look at all of those streams to see it.   

Also you’ve posted enough info with that image.... stop trying to ruin the game for everyone!

Go make your money and stop telling everyone in an open forum

The best place to hide the truth is in plain site! 99.9% of passers-by would never even believe that this was all related to the HG...

OK, I've corrected some payout odds in the charts and added new ones:
Light Green - used in the previous parachute simulation
Dark Green - planned for the next parachute sim (there's also one hedge bet between High-Low and Dozens still to be added to the chart)
Orange - possible exclusions from the next parachute sim


If you'd like to have a play around with the streams dependency then I've uploaded the spreadsheet, which is based on 1 million spins (can take a while to filter):
Download spreadsheet...