Non-Random - the missing concept?

[falkor2k15]

We've only got till June 2023 before doomsday (my new website: surviving2023.com) so I thought I would share with you a new concept I figured out regarding Non-Random in the hope it might lead to edge before our time runs out.

There was always talk of "dependency" and "missing something simple" - like such info was deliberately omitted in Priyanka's Random Thoughts topic from Sep 2015. Well, I was thinking... (in terms of dozen cycles; keeping it simple always)

We play for a cycle length 2 and are two spins away from finding out if we will win, so we have a choice of either playing the first spin or the second spin. We decide on the first spin:

1... bet dozens 2+3
12... win!

There is still one more bet to complete the CL2, but we can already say that we've won it from a single bet that went in the right direction of CL2-3; in other words, we at least profit on CL2 - that's the main thing - and we don't lose if CL3 comes.

But by winning this CL2 event we have created dependency because we are already halfway to winning the next event, outer CL1 or outer CL2, so we might as well play on. Other future events that we are now also a part of: a VdW AP (CL2 CL1 CL2 CL3 CL2) or a multiple repeat target of CL2-3 (CL2 first to 3 repeats) or a trio of Friends or Strangers, etc.

The probabilities for the next outer event are roughly the same as the probabilities for the inner CL2 = 40 odd %. However, we now have 3-6 spins to play it, so we have to choose carefully which spin(s) we will play to try to keep on a winning streak. We can also switch to outer CL1 or CL2 depending on whether the first cycle was CL2 or CL3, as either type of outer event becomes more likely as the sequence reduces.

121 = CL2
133 = CL2 = Outer CL1 = 3 spins

1231 = CL3
121 = CL2
133 = CL2 = Outer CL2 = 6 spins

So.... the targets can change and we get an increasing number of spins to try to reach them and stay in profit. Although our bets consist of double dozens (66%) and maybe single dozens (33%), they are wrapped up in larger events over multiple spins. Ideally, we want to try to ride on some increasing ratio if that's possible for longer term events and pick the optimal spin(s) to bet.

If you fail then you fail because the most likely event hasn't happened yet, but you can still come out in profit if that event is over multiple spins instead of, say, a single spin. On the contrary: loss of a single spin bet can never profit.

Ultimately, we are attempting to survive in the long term. Non-Random may be a game of time instead of chance.

[RouletteGhost]

We've only got till June 2023 before doomsday l......so I thought I would share with you a new concept I figured out regarding Non-Random in the hope it might lead to edge before our time runs out.




1... bet dozens 2+3
12... win!

[Mako]

Flakor has emerged from his doomsday bunker long enough to post, nice nice.

[Blueprint]

There is no missing concept, only missing understanding.

[Robbert]

2023 doomsday? Explain!

[nottophammer]

Doomsday is when, again? The world will end in 2012,   2023,   2026
                                                                                      Doz 1,   doz2,   doz3
Zero will sort it out

[nottophammer]

I won't be around, but food for thought.

The moon is an average of 238,855 miles (384,400 km) away from Earth

Bennu crosses Earth’s orbit every six years and comes within 0.002 AU (300,000km) of the planet. At its furthest point it is over 340 million kilometres (211 million miles) away from the Earth.
There is a tiny chance- about 1 in 2,500 - Bennu could collide with Earth late in the 22nd century, scientists believe.
The asteroid will pass between Earth and the moon in 2135 and could then collide with the planet later in the century should its orbit be altered by Earth’s gravity as it passes.

[Herby]

Bennu was discovered on September 11,      1999