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Started by flukey luke, Nov 02, 07:10 AM 2010

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flukey luke

Twister, I compile my own ratings first and foremost. On saying that, I do have contacts in the sport and I also know a few guys that work in the trading rooms at one of the major bookmakers. This has it's advantages. If one of my contacts tells me something is fancied, I can check around to see if the 'right' people are putting money down.
On saying all that, it is all about opinions.  The secret as always is to be right a bit more than your wrong and make a profit. There are no instant riches to be had.
The horse I tipped up today got well backed in the afternoon into 8/1 on course before drifting back out to 9's.  Unfortunately it lost and that leaves me at -2 points for the month now.

As an aside and this will not be my tip tomorrow (I will never tip up an odds on shot), I have had some information for a horse running in the 3.50 at haydock tomorrow called 'lively baron' They are 8 runners in the race, but I think the best I can hope for is a shade of odds on. I will be having a lumpy bet on myself because the guy who told me is a pretty shrewd judge and very rarely comes away empty handed when the money is down.

Sometimes I can get an early price for a horse the night before and back it with Paddy Power or Bet365. If the horse gets smashed of the boards, then I can lay it back and guarantee a profit either way, win or lose.

esoito

For those interested in a program to:

*  get bets on instantly so as to lock in the price

*  run dutch books (backing or laying)

*  trade with greening

then Bet-IE ( "Betty" to her multitude of worshippers, including little moi) is worth your consideration.

It's been around quite a while.

Does what it says on the tin.

The one-off purchase includes all future updates.

And support is resonsive, timely and helpful.

I bought it about 4 years ago and would never use BF without it.



[Disclaimers: I am not the owner. I do not sell it. The owner is not a relative. I am not married to the owner.]


malcop

Quote from: esoito on Nov 03, 10:35 PM 2010
For those interested in a program to:

*  get bets on instantly so as to lock in the price

*  run dutch books (backing or laying)

*  trade with greening

then Bet-IE ( "Betty" to her multitude of worshippers, including little moi) is worth your consideration.

It's been around quite a while.

Does what it says on the tin.

The one-off purchase includes all future updates.

And support is resonsive, timely and helpful.

I bought it about 4 years ago and would never use BF without it.



[Disclaimers: I am not the owner. I do not sell it. The owner is not a relative. I am not married to the owner.]I have Bet-IE and a few other from the program creators and can fully agree with esoito well worth the price.



flukey luke

Bet number 3.

2.40 haydock. laredo sound (back to win) It is 8.0 - 7/1 at the moment. I expect this one to shorten up a bit before the start.

The horse I got a mention for 'lively baron' is 4/9. Not really my sort of price. Will hold off and hope for maybe around 8/11 at the opening show (fingers crossed)  :thumbsup:

Twisteruk

Quote from: flukey luke on Nov 04, 06:48 AM 2010
Bet number 3.

2.40 haydock. laredo sound (back to win) It is 8.0 - 7/1 at the moment. I expect this one to shorten up a bit before the start.

The horse I got a mention for 'lively baron' is 4/9. Not really my sort of price. Will hold off and hope for maybe around 8/11 at the opening show (fingers crossed)  :thumbsup:


Wow thats a brave bet,imo.

I would want 16/1 before touching that lol

Good luck with gettin 8/11 too  :D My fingers will be crossed for you  :thumbsup:
Its Set In Stone =)

flukey luke

The money is coming for laredo sound as we speak, a lot of badly handicapped horses in the race and think this may be the day for my one.
I doubt very much I will get 8/11 for 'lively baron'  :D
I may have a nifty on at 4/6 if I can get it.  :thumbsup:

flukey luke

It's all happening today  :)
I am going to post up my first 'lay of the day' today as well.
Remember, laying is backing a horse to lose. You can only do this with a betfair trading account. Basically, if you have an opinion that a horse will lose, someone who thinks it will win will back against you. In my opinion it is slightly easier to find losers than winners. I say this because I lay horses that are strong in the market (ie. favourites) any mug can say a 20/1 shot will lose.  :D You will get away with it and then one day the 20/1 beast wins and all your profits are gone.  :'(
Lay of the day.
3.40 lingfield. papageno. (lay to lose) It is a 2.0 or 1/1 shot at the moment. I can't have it and will be laying it accordingly.

Twisteruk

Quote from: Twisteruk on Nov 04, 07:07 AM 2010

Wow that's a brave bet,in my opinion.

I would want 16/1 before touching that LoL

Good luck with gettin 8/11 too  :D My fingers will be crossed for you  :thumbsup:


Came last. Maybe it broke a blood vessel ?
Its Set In Stone =)

Twisteruk

Quote from: flukey luke on Nov 04, 08:29 AM 2010
It's all happening today  :)
I am going to post up my first 'lay of the day' today as well.
Remember, laying is backing a horse to lose. You can only do this with a betfair trading account. Basically, if you have an opinion that a horse will lose, someone who thinks it will win will back against you. In my opinion it is slightly easier to find losers than winners. I say this because I lay horses that are strong in the market (ie. favourites) any mug can say a 20/1 shot will lose.  :D You will get away with it and then one day the 20/1 beast wins and all your profits are gone.  :'(
Lay of the day.
3.40 lingfield. papageno. (lay to lose) It is a 2.0 or 1/1 shot at the moment. I can't have it and will be laying it accordingly.


Nice Lay  :thumbsup:
Its Set In Stone =)

flukey luke

A bit of a mixed day.
The win bet laredo sound losing.
The tip on lively baron winning.
The lay bet winning (which means it lost as I expected)
I never backed the tip, the price ended up at 2/7. 4/9 was the best price I could have had.
Laredo sound was travelling well and just seemed to blow up.
I was happy with the lay, it never really looked like winning.
I will keep seperate figures for the 3 different types of bets.
My personal win bets.
Tips (information).
My personal Lays.

Blood Angel

Hi
I just wanted to say how much I am enjoying this thread.
I am not posting or commenting because the horses are newish to me....so thank you for the good reading  :thumbsup:

flukey luke

Thank you Blood Angel, It's good to know a few people are following with interest.
I was thinking of putting up a kind of blog/diary on a thread where I share my daily experiences. I could share some of the methods I use and explain a bit more on how to look for value selections.

Bet number 4.
4.10 hexham. Gavroche Gaugain. (back to win) it is 6.0 - 5/1 at the moment with most major firms. I think this one could go clear favourite before the race and the price will probably shorten.
Anyway, good luck if anybody plays.  :thumbsup:

Twisteruk

Quote from: flukey luke on Nov 05, 07:10 AM 2010

Bet number 4.
4.10 hexham. Gavroche Gaugain. (back to win) it is 6.0 - 5/1 at the moment with most major firms. I think this one could go clear favourite before the race and the price will probably shorten.
Anyway, good luck if anybody plays.  :thumbsup:



A 2m Hanicap Chase (5) on Heavy Going


Wow you is a brave boy !


I think No10 Janal Each Way at 10/1 is the value


Good luck to whoever plays in that race !!!
Its Set In Stone =)

Twisteruk

Quote from: Twisteruk on Nov 05, 09:23 AM 2010

A 2m Hanicap Chase (5) on Heavy Going


Wow you is a brave boy !


I think No10 Janal Each Way at 10/1 is the value

Good luck to whoever plays in that race !!!




Get In Janal 10/1 Winner  ;D !
Its Set In Stone =)

flukey luke

Well done Twister  :)
I had a saver on your tip, so not all bad. Janal ran a good race making most of the running.
I will need to pull my finger out to keep up with you.  :thumbsup:

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