Reverse-engineering the HG

[falkor2k15]

Following the reverse-engineering process, here's what my analysis is telling us:

--If the lesser groups repeat early within an open number cycle then the number cycle is likely to repeat late.
--If the lesser groups repeat late within an open number cycle then the number is likely to repeat early.

Here's a specific example:

The most common number cycle is NCL6 = early repeat.

CL6 occurs more in the following scenario:
Spin 1: HCL2+ and DCL2+ and LCL2+ and SCL2+
Spin 2: DCL3+ and LCL3+ and SCL3+
Spin 6: NCL6

Therefore, the number cycle is more likely to repeat when the 1s are more evenly spread as opposed to being confined to the space of just a halve, dozen or line. Here the numbers were spread over 6 different streets prior to the repeat on spin 6 (technically spin 7):




All within 6 spins! 

[donik7777]

Is guessing game or try to predict?

[falkor2k15]

Before Random Thoughts was ever thought of, the most amazing topic on this forum just has to be - no, not Pattern Breaker - but Mist Trap!

The Mist Trap system was too complicated to tweak and maintain, but it left us with a rather interesting paradox:

If an extreme Number Cycle takes a certain sequence - or the lesser groups appear in a certain sequence - then the number cycle is guaranteed a win without breaking the bank thanks to an exploit of the carpet design. This is achieved through betting on behalf with a net as a cheap investment.

For example: if a number cycle appeared in actual number sequence then this is how we would bet (based on a generic template that has nothing to do with predicting):
1: Bet Low...
2: +1! Bet Low...
3: +2! Bet Low...
4 +3! Bet Low...
5 +4! Bet Low...
6 +5! Bet Low...
7 +6! Bet Low...
8 +7! Bet Low...
9 +8! Bet Low...
10 +9! Bet Low...
11 +10! Bet Low...
12 +11! Bet Low...
13 +12! Bet Low...
14 +13! Bet Low...
15 +14! Bet Low...
16 +15! Bet Low...
17 +16! Bet Low...
18 +17! Bet Low...
19 +16. Bet Low + Line 4
20 +19! Bet Low + Line 4
21 +22! Bet Low + Line 4
22 +25! Bet Low + Line 4
23 +28! Bet Low + Line 4
24 +31! Bet Low + Line 4
25 +29. Bet Low + Line 4 + Line 5
25 +31!

This means that if we get certain repetitions of Low and Lines (etc). without a repeat on the numbers then we can parachute towards the numbers.
This also means that if we get a number cycle in a certain sequence tailored to the carpet layout then we can exploit it.

Let's say we get another sequence of numbers that are not tailored to the carpet layout then how should we play them? Answer: perhaps the positions counterpart stream (or another custom stream of some kind) will be better tailored to the carpet layout than the official stream(s) on that occasion. 

[falkor2k15]

Inside the Double Repeat: the last concept to explore in preparation for the final practical...

When we have several streams, such as halves, dozens, lines, streets and numbers, not only will they often repeat at the same time - but they will also increase their cycle length at the same time = double+ simultaneous unique or repeat.

Let's say we want to bet for Dozens CL2-3:
1... bet 2+3

We might select that simple MLE bet when most of the sleeping numbers are in dozens 2-3 in the hope of a simultaneous unique.

12... bet 1+13

We might want to actually bet the numbers 1 and 13 instead of dozens 1 and 2 if they were the first 2 numbers spun since we might get a repeat on both the dozens and numbers at the same time.

Both the above examples follow MLE for both uniques and repeats - but with a cheaper investment by knowing when to switch between dozen bets and number bets.

In actuality we would parachute from playing dozens-EC to Dozens-Lines to Lines-Streets to Streets-Numbers throughout the duration of an open number cycle. It would probably be better to hedge several of them at the same time. If we lose a dozen cycle or line cycle (etc) and the number cycle remains open we can still interchange the unique numbers or sleepers with the unique lines or sleeping lines depending on whether we have passed the average cycle length or not (as per previous discussion).

[donik7777]

Nice Falkor!

Please try in practical mode put cheap investment. Pri said need at least 3-4 streams for get edge.


Cheers