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Step In To My Game

Started by MoneyT101, Sep 25, 01:17 PM 2019

Previous topic - Next topic

0 Members and 21 Guests are viewing this topic.

6th-sense

Mel ..you once said to me on my back to basics thread i gave too much information out...i stopped posting on that thread.

i,m going to now say the same to you..

Herby

Thanks all and especially MoneyT for the interesting ideas.  :smile:

If you once need a simulation, calculation... just say it. (Mathematica, and always better JavaScript)

Blueprint

Quote from: MoneyT101 on Sep 25, 03:00 PM 2019***If you play cycles perfectly with no house edge you will always break even.

Can you prove that?

MoneyT101

Quote from: Blueprint on Sep 25, 03:34 PM 2019
Can you prove that?

Falkor already posted many sessions and proved it.  But I’ll prove it for you here.  Just in case anyone else needs it
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

MoneyT101

Quote from: 6th-sense on Sep 25, 03:13 PM 2019
Mel ..you once said to me on my back to basics thread i gave too much information out...i stopped posting on that thread.

i,m going to now say the same to you..

It’s alright I only shared what’s already in the forum.  Maybe I cleared it up for a better understanding without cryptic messages but I shared more revealing info in my other topics 😅

Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

MoneyT101

Quote from: Herby on Sep 25, 03:27 PM 2019
Thanks all and especially MoneyT for the interesting ideas.  :smile:

If you once need a simulation, calculation... just say it. (Mathematica, and always better JavaScript)

No problem glad I can help
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

Herby

Quote from: MoneyT101 on Sep 25, 03:35 PM 2019Just in case anyone else needs it
Always good to test own ideas against others, so please ...

MoneyT101

Quote from: Herby on Sep 25, 03:39 PM 2019
Always good to test own ideas against others, so please ...

Yes very true.  But I already tested it on my own.  Just never posted it.  But I have openly spoke about it.  Cycles break even without zero and I believe Pri even mentioned it also.

Me
Priyanka
Falkor

Have openly stated this fact.
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

Herby

Somewhere on my harddisc I have this calculations as well.
Kind of nice distributions which have to equal to zero in the long run.
It's a good controll that the simulation is without errors.

MoneyT101

Quote from: Herby on Sep 25, 04:20 PM 2019
Somewhere on my harddisc I have this calculations as well.
Kind of nice distributions which have to equal to zero in the long run.
It's a good controll that the simulation is without errors.

You don’t really need simulation to prove, of course the visual is better tho
But I’ll write something up later here about it
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

Blueprint

Quote from: MoneyT101 on Sep 25, 03:35 PM 2019
Falkor already posted many sessions and proved it.  But I’ll prove it for you here.  Just in case anyone else needs it

Sorry, I don't speak Falkor.

Blueprint

Quote from: MoneyT101 on Sep 25, 04:50 PM 2019
You don’t really need simulation to prove, of course the visual is better tho
But I’ll write something up later here about it

Cool man. Looking forward.

Blood Angel

Money you say “ now if we apply the math”.. can you explain a little more what that means exactly?

BA

MoneyT101

Quote from: Blueprint on Sep 25, 05:25 PM 2019
Cool man. Looking forward.

I will use just cycle 1 cause it’s easy to work out.  I will use 1474 spins cause I’m doing it on my phone and I don’t feel like fixing the sheet to add more or less spins 😅

Example 1

1474 spins
538 cycles

Cycle 1 - 98
Cycle 2 - 143
Cycle 3 - 160
Cycle 4 - 83
Cycle 5 - 49
Cycle 6 - 5

Let’s say you only focus on playing cycle 1

You will win 490 units and lose 440 units

98x(6-1)= 490

Profit 50 in this case but if you continue to play it will be break even

Example 2

1474 spins
546 cycles

Cycle 1 - 94
Cycle 2 - 169
Cycle 3 - 144
Cycle 4 - 97
Cycle 5 - 35
Cycle 6 - 7

Again let’s say you only focus on cycle 1

You will win 470 units and lose 452 units
94x(6-1)=470

Profit 18 units which with more plays will break even.


If you continue comparing each of the cycles you will always be hovering around the break even zone.

Now if you add the zero(es) then you will always get the loss
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

MoneyT101

Quote from: Blood Angel on Sep 25, 06:14 PM 2019
Money you say “ now if we apply the math”.. can you explain a little more what that means exactly?

BA

In this case what I mean is to organize your stats. What’s the math behind what you are seeing with the information?

How many spins did you use?
Did you use straights,streets,quads,etc?
How many total cycles?
How many cycles of 1,2,3,etc?

If I use completely new spins will the Information change or be almost the same?

So what math does your gathering of stats tell you now?

What might be important to look at?

Any bias? Anything you notice that happens a lot?

Can you take advantage of anything?
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

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