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Theories, Myths, Facts And Ideas

Started by MoneyT101, Oct 06, 06:37 PM 2019

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0 Members and 29 Guests are viewing this topic.

Blood Angel

Quote from: MoneyT101 on Oct 13, 10:31 AM 2019
Sorry, I understood different.

No worries, I didn’t word it very well. Thanks for all the ideas.

ati

Quote from: MoneyT101 on Oct 13, 09:09 AM 2019
🙋‍â™,️ I think I know this one pick me 😂

Where... recent numbers
How... birthday paradox

🤔
But aren't those are the same things? I mean the repeats on recent numbers is the result of the birthday paradox.
So I'm not sure about the answer on "how"

MoneyT101

Quote from: ati on Oct 13, 12:36 PM 2019
But aren't those are the same things? I mean the repeats on recent numbers is the result of the birthday paradox.
So I'm not sure about the answer on "how"

I don’t know how to explain the difference without contradicting myself and getting attacked for it 😅

Let me try...

Let’s say you have 24 straights that came out.  The repeat will be in the last 18 which are the more recent 19-24 are still part of the birthday paradox but aren’t considered recent anymore.
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

Herby


falkor2k15

There's something quite interesting about the number repeat that I have yet to follow up on:

The number repeat always closes by CL25 as per the graph that Herby posted.

However, we can still encounter 36 unique numbers somewhere within 1 million spins - but such events never occur/coincide when tracking all number cycles continuously with the "Principle A" re-tracking mechanism.
"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

Herby

Quote from: Herby on May 15, 02:34 AM 2016Probability of the first repeat of any shown number (in %)

{{1,2.7027},{2,5.25931},{3,7.46254},{4,9.14329},
{5,10.1935},{6,10.5792},{7,10.341},{8,9.58236},
{9,8.44931},{10,7.10453},{11,5.70282},{12,4.3717},

More results in the link above ...

MoneyT101

I bring to you more entertainment in the world of ideas 😂

So would the lines be worth playing with a progresión if you always get a win in a short time frame?

Or

would you just play the opposite for guaranteed profit?

Im a do 100 spins with only the bet results.  Let’s get to the bottom of this 🕵️‍â™,️
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

MoneyT101

Quote from: MoneyT101 on Oct 13, 03:45 PM 2019
I bring to you more entertainment in the world of ideas 😂

So would the lines be worth playing with a progresión if you always get a win in a short time frame?

Or

would you just play the opposite for guaranteed profit?

Im a do 100 spins with only the bet results.  Let’s get to the bottom of this 🕵️‍â™,️

I did 94 spins manually to avoid mistakes.  This is real results not created to make a point!

First 3 spins NB(no bet) then waited 3 spins cause no bet was possible. Played double street so each win is 6.  Any negative in first column is how many double streets were covered.

NB   
NB   
NB   
NB   
NB   
NB   
-1   
-1   
NB   
NB   
-1   
-1   
-1   
NB   
-1   
-2   6 ..... 7 spin bet short progression  ---- opposite bet ends at +2
NB   
-2   
-2   
-2   6 ..... 3 spin bet short progression ---- opposite bet ends at +0
-1   
-1   
NB   
-1   
NB   
-1   
-1   
-2   
NB   
-3   6 ..... 7 spin bet short progression ---- opposite bet ends at +4
-1   
-2   
NB   
NB   
-1   
-2   
-2   
-2   6 ..... 6 spin bet short progression ---- opposite bet ends at +4
NB   
-1   
-2   
-1   
-1   
NB   
-1   
-1   
-1   
-2   6 ..... 8 spin bet short progression ---- opposite bet ends at +4
NB   
-1   
-2   
-1   
-1   
-1   6 ..... 5 spin bet short progression ---- opposite bet ends at +0
-1   
-1   
-2   
-1   
-1   
-1   6 ..... 6 spin bet short progression ---- opposite bet ends at +1
-2   
-1   
-3   
-1   
-1   
-2   
-1   
-4   6 ..... 8 spin bet short progression ---- opposite bet ends at +9
-2   
NB   
-2   
-2   
NB   
-2   6 ..... 4 spin bet short progression ---- opposite bet ends at +2
-1   
-2   
-1   
-1   
-2   6 ..... 5 spin bet short progression ---- opposite bet ends at +1
-2   6 ..... 1 spin bet no progression   ---- opposite bet ends at -4
NB   
NB   
-2   
NB   
-1   
NB   
-1   
NB   
-1   
NB   
-1   
-1   
-2   6 ..... 7 spin bet short progression ---- opposite bet ends at +3

Opposite bet ends at +26

Progression depends on what ever is used.  But any progression is good well except martingale.  I like ending on +1 so so if all my combined losses will end on a positive with 6, i continue.  if not then i go 2 units(12) on each bet then 3(18), etc.

If you enjoy progressions and like taking risk for better reward its not so bad to come up with 7 step-8 step progression

Back to the original questions...

My opinion: what is better for you might be to safe for someone else.  It all comes down to preference
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

falkor2k15

I can't really comment on MoneyT's latest example because in all my testing "normal" and "opposite" bets always result in break even, so I couldn't possibly fathom his partial test results let alone hypothesis.

Regarding my earlier observation I thought I would give an actual example - nothing hidden here:

Quote from: falkor2k15 on Oct 13, 02:19 PM 2019
There's something quite interesting about the number repeat that I have yet to follow up on:

The number repeat always closes by CL25 as per the graph that Herby posted.

However, we can still encounter 36 unique numbers somewhere within 1 million spins - but such events never occur/coincide when tracking all number cycles continuously with the "Principle A" re-tracking mechanism.



Under standard number repeats I encountered CL10,3,5 and finally 15.
However, under principle C number repeats I countered 2 x CL12s prior to the 15.

Therefore, CL25 is the maximum for normal number repeats - but if we carry over all uniques after every cycle (principle C) then we can encounter cycle lengths higher than CL25!

This could mean something along the lines of: cycle length+position of the current cycle is dependent on the order+position of the previous cycle.
"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

donik7777

Falkor i think your Principle C was described by RRBB he also using unique from previous cycle

You created a half (two unique quads) with a really interesting feature: on a repeat of the quads, the repeat will almost always be in the "dynamic half" that you defined in this way.


I was referring to is to determine the SECOND term in a cycle of quads (beginning at a repeat, ending before a repeat), so a the second term you would bet 2 quads




Tinsoldiers

Quote from: MoneyT101 on Oct 13, 05:00 PM 2019Back to the original questions...
One small question, before I respond to the previous posts. Can you pls identify all the zeroes in this spin set if you can pls. Thanks.

MoneyT101

Quote from: falkor2k15 on Oct 13, 05:41 PM 2019
I can't really comment on MoneyT's latest example because in all my testing "normal" and "opposite" bets always result in break even, so I couldn't possibly fathom his partial test results let alone hypothesis.
Because looking all the stats, knowing the information and reciting it like a random expert can only get you so far.

Once you understand what the information means and use your brain you can start finding ways to use it.
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

donik7777

quads cycle like that

1242
2...now we can bet for quad 4 from previous cycle and defining 2 so we actually bet for quads falling for LOW EC

MoneyT101

Quote from: Tinsoldiers on Oct 13, 05:54 PM 2019
One small question, before I respond to the previous posts. Can you pls identify all the zeroes in this spin set if you can pls. Thanks.

I used randbetween(1,36) to get results and then converted to lines.  No zero used.

3-10 zeros in the 94 spins still wouldn’t make much difference on the results.

People always find a way to focus on the wrong things.

I already shared ideas on zero in my old posts and you also can take the loss and continue. Zero isn’t your biggest enemy!
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

falkor2k15

Here's another example after 100K spins - we have 4 x CL23s in the C column - and only max 21 in the A column:



I would need to run it to 1 mil to go beyond CL25.
"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

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