Simple... stupid... CAN IT WORK??

[Patrick999]

Hey guys...
New here so sorry if this is obviously wrong.
I hear somewhere that the most successful strategy was a very simple inside one - betting numbers.
Started thinking about it - AND have tested MANY others (Inside, outside, flatbet, progressions, corners, dousins etc).

Note - I am afraid of progressions as have blown my BR a few times on a HG that did not work.

So... this is very boring... but could it work?

Wait for e.g. 36 spins to get a cold number.
Place 1u on that single number.
Repeat until you win. (win = reset).
After 36 losses - double bet.

In this way you "should" have slow and steady profits over time and not blow a BR. (worst I have seen was 96 spins to hit one number?

What do you guys think?

Especially interested to hear from @rouletteghost and @Ignatus.

Br,

Patrick

[Steve]

Does the system make you win more than expected from random accuracy?

If no, its the same as random bets. You lose.

If yes, have you tested enough spins from proper sources to be statistically sigbificant?

If no, keep testing until you do.

If yes, maybe you have something.

Be careful you understand what statistical relevance is. It isnt 20 spins.

[Patrick999]

Thanks for the answer Steve.

I don't know yet - but I think with a simple (and slow progression) one beats random accuracy. I.e. the accuracy is still random - but you win against it with the progression.

Very true and of course.. we need hundreds of thousands of spins.

Very boring I know - but it might work??

[Steve]

I don't know yet - but I think with a simple (and slow progression) one beats random accuracy. I.e. the accuracy is still random - but you win against it with the progression.

Progression is only different size bets on different spins. You will probably win for a while, then tank.

Start with the basics: :.roulettephysics.com/roulette-strategy/

[Patrick999]

I am familiar with the basics... and do not like progressions for exactly the obvious reasons.
However - this progression is SO slow (and gains also) that I think it is very safe!
So... with time - one might win??

[falkor2k15]

I am familiar with the basics... and do not like progressions for exactly the obvious reasons.
However - this progression is SO slow (and gains also) that I think it is very safe!
So... with time - one might win??

Remember, a single number might not show for up to 500 spins, so even the slowest progression cannot recover.

[Patrick999]

500??? Ouch!
Thanks!

[Bigbroben]

Learn some coding skills.  it will let you run hundreds of spins in seconds, i.e. saving a few months or real game.  You'll then know in short notice if the idea is good or bad.

But don't forget: no matter what you bet and why you bet ( hot nr, cold nr, law of third, stats, pattern,...), it's 36 You against 37 Them at every spin. 
You better come up with something original cuz most ideas have been thouroughly tested already!

If you go outside the mechanical, mathematical, system-ish realm, then maybe...

[falkor2k15]

If there is a way to beat Roulette then a good starting pointer:

Numbers... if too many repeats... then all uniques must show by spin 500.
Numbers... if too many uniques... then repeat must happen by spin 25.

Both extremes are too costly to play - but all uniques must show or there must be a repeat on a lesser stream, respectively - before we reach such an extreme situation on the number cycle.

IF you can win on a different stream before spin 500/25 then you could potentially survive the full distance = stitching.

In such a situation it would make more sense to stitch instead of stopping on a mid-point win and starting a new game.

[Steve]

So... with time - one might win??

No because of what I said. Its the annoying truth.

Sure you can win for a while, then tank. But thats very different from long term winning where the more you play the more you win.

[Patrick999]

Thank you guys!
Great to have your input!
I'll skip this one...
:-)