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The "Statistical Imbalance" fallacy

Started by falkor2k15, Feb 22, 10:58 AM 2020

Previous topic - Next topic

0 Members and 27 Guests are viewing this topic.

Steve

Kimo, i already have. What i do is quite logical, but not relevant to this discussion.
"The only way to beat roulette is by increasing the accuracy of predictions"
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HouseWife

Hi.

Answering your enquires is not difficult. Having the will to do it, is. Today that will has born. Because of Syrian events exponential escalation. And where that will bring us, the wheel people, to.

I’ve seen many of you suffer under the tyranny of prices, how money has over shadowed the value of meaningful relationships and depth. How shallowness has become the unwritten social norm and how those who know the game of life have utterly lost the purpose of living which is not 42 nor owning the biz. We are here to have useful and value adding real friendships. Ones where going on a fishing trip on a cheap boat is fulfilling and genuinely enjoyable experience. Where we are allowed to breath fresh air to remain healthy is a normality, and where character related deviations are not judged but healed. Where caring is balancing the modern day indifference, where OOBE’s and vibration, frequency and energy of the very soul becomes intriguing or the perspective on eternity the full meaning of our very existence.

I’d like you all to get excited about finer things in life after our contribution. To me, money helped me to shift focus; from quantitative to being finally capable to live the moment and actually become present. I wish that to you all.

If those who have exceptional quality on wheel accuracy care to join this endeavor on a shoulder to shoulder bases great. If not, it’s your free will. Yet, I’m done reading about depressed individuals banging their heads on the wall because they literally can not afford counseling and as we are going to enter some massively imbalanced Times here on the larger scale, why not excite the wheel community for one last time.

Here we go.

HouseWife

Tesla groups. R189. R234. R568. They all follow an order. It’s hit in 3s with 12nbs. Or 13nbs when we are talking 189(0) group.

But beware. Take two time base loss as your buy in. So that if you use the order of the sequence in the wrong direction and it is therefore not hitting on that natural first 3s cycle, it will certainly on the second one.

30.40.50 Progression for both.

Buy in 1k, exit at plus 9k, net. 10k total.

HouseWife

The Tesla orders:

123456789
741852963
628406284

Can also be played as the sum of 3. Means take last 3s sum up each consecutive individual one number to root 10 and just take the combination from there.

Like this:

09 1 to ten
18 1
17 2

Total of 4, play corresponding group.

HouseWife

You can also lessen numbers. Nine(ten with zero). Double roots or ends meaning 8nbs(9with zero) or 7. Or 6. Or a single root. Or half a root/end. Or, one single number per cycle to hit.

The cycles are:

2 for 18(19)
3 for 12
4 for 9(10) or as accuracy increases 2s cycles
6 for 6, or as predictability raises, 3nbs in six.
4nbs in 3s. Or two in 3s.
2nbs in 6 spins.
And one number in 36s. Or in 18 spins. Or in 12 spins. Or, at best one in six spins.

And those are the main cycles. That’s how the correct perspective shall lead towards winning.

HouseWife

We can use patterns to notice what happens in two consecutive cycles to determine what bet selection to choose for the third. It is easier to execute with more numbers as with less, the cycles overlap which can lead to potential confusion over the connection events - especially for the untrained eye. And the person who is not used to taking calculated risks under stress in an educated manner.

Or we can turn to the perfection of the wheel based six lined orderly identical wheel based matrix to increase so significantly the odds of winning that the process literally turn the game and session related dynamics in our favor. By that I do mean risking 18(20)units to win 18(16 with zero) 75-85% of the time. Or the sun matrix for purest form of perfection. Which is the final HG.

HouseWife

The final way is via geometrical symmetry.

But to finalize a perfect execution one must never rely on less than 10x base loss as a Bank Roll. And never risk more than half of a BR per session, which is already an extremely risky set up for longer term potential optimization.

The way the process works is to reach out for an outcome that saturates itself.

Like this:

31.6.36.
Bet 1.

Or

31.31.31.
31.

But be cautious, it may also connect in a manner that hands out 2 number you bet for 6 spins.

So it requires extreme focus to notice the genuine connection events.

369 line has its own way of tweaking the outcome.

HouseWife

It’s irrelevant what one plays in the realm of an outcome based game unless the cashier from the local fish and chips is a professional wheel person desiring to get thrilled about accuracy and the nuances of process of reaching a certain target or stop loss. All the ask for is cash or a virtual transfer via a card.

I’m a person with a considerable baggage of sin in my life. I have failed in every single way a person can. In fact, I could be stigmatized easily as the very definition of most lowest low. I look myself in the mirror and all I see is a loser. Because I have lost the only thing that ever mattered to me, like Saul.

But if this minor gesture is of any value or impact upon one single life out there, a life that’s been on the wheel for a decade, a few or even just one single hour from genuine despair, then perhaps what I have done in my life, shall be even most slightly balanced.

If not. I bow to you all, who have been here throughout the years as truly, you are the most impressive people I’ve come about to ever know. Because unlike myself, you guys always held to the principles of dignity and honor.

That means verticality and character. Be it because Steve’s got an iron grip on the events of the forum and admined an admirable level of quality to it, be it your determined own personalities, I have to admit this:

I have been delighted to know the truest sense of some pretty intellectually fancy and highly sophisticated mind sets.

May that deliver you what I lost.

Kali49

Quote from: Herby on Mar 06, 09:56 AM 2020
I'll give it a try:

if the bag contains: Red - Red - Green - Green
p(Red - Green - Red) = 0.5*0.5*0.5 = 0.125 = 12.5 %

if the bag contains: Red - Red - Red- Green
p(Red - Green - Red) = 3*0.25*0.25*3*0.25 = 0.140625 = 14.06 %

if the bag contains: Green - Green - Green - Red
p(Red - Green - Red) = 0.25*3*0.25*0.25 = 0.046875 = 4.9 %

So its most probable the the bag contains Red - Red - Red- Green

That is correct Herby, do you have any intuitions on how to apply this concept in roulette?
A collection of Roolet ideas
link:[url="s://roolet.flarum.cloud"]s://roolet.flarum.cloud[/url]

Kairomancer

That is nice. I was lazy to do the calculation, but as it turned out red, red, red, green still had a small edge after all.

I am interested hearing the deeper concept you intended to point out.

Kali49

Quote from: Kairomancer on Mar 06, 03:41 PM 2020
That is nice. I was lazy to do the calculation, but as it turned out red, red, red, green still had a small edge after all.

I am interested hearing the deeper concept you intended to point out.

There are plenty of concepts I want to share, the question you want to ask is how do we fix a certain parameter in some group of spins of our choice, and then extract from it the features that you will use as the observed data, and finally predict the state of the fixed parameter based on the updating features.
I hope this makes sense.
A collection of Roolet ideas
link:[url="s://roolet.flarum.cloud"]s://roolet.flarum.cloud[/url]

Kali49

Quote from: HouseWife on Mar 06, 01:02 PM 2020
It’s irrelevant what one plays in the realm of an outcome based game unless the cashier from the local fish and chips is a professional wheel person desiring to get thrilled about accuracy and the nuances of process of reaching a certain target or stop loss. All the ask for is cash or a virtual transfer via a card.

I’m a person with a considerable baggage of sin in my life. I have failed in every single way a person can. In fact, I could be stigmatized easily as the very definition of most lowest low. I look myself in the mirror and all I see is a loser. Because I have lost the only thing that ever mattered to me, like Saul.

But if this minor gesture is of any value or impact upon one single life out there, a life that’s been on the wheel for a decade, a few or even just one single hour from genuine despair, then perhaps what I have done in my life, shall be even most slightly balanced.

If not. I bow to you all, who have been here throughout the years as truly, you are the most impressive people I’ve come about to ever know. Because unlike myself, you guys always held to the principles of dignity and honor.

That means verticality and character. Be it because Steve’s got an iron grip on the events of the forum and admined an admirable level of quality to it, be it your determined own personalities, I have to admit this:

I have been delighted to know the truest sense of some pretty intellectually fancy and highly sophisticated mind sets.

May that deliver you what I lost.

Thank you for that awesome contribution.
A collection of Roolet ideas
link:[url="s://roolet.flarum.cloud"]s://roolet.flarum.cloud[/url]

Kimo Li

Quote from: Steve on Mar 06, 11:39 AM 2020
Kimo, i already have. What i do is quite logical, but not relevant to this discussion.

You have?, would you post the link so we can see your proof?
What I do is quite logical as well, which makes this not relevant to this discussion as well.




number25

Quote from: HouseWife on Mar 06, 12:19 PM 2020
The Tesla orders:

123456789
741852963
628406284

Can also be played as the sum of 3. Means take last 3s sum up each consecutive individual one number to root 10 and just take the combination from there.

Like this:

09 1 to ten
18 1
17 2

Total of 4, play corresponding group.

Need better  info that we can understand.

Kairomancer

Quote from: number25 on Mar 06, 07:26 PM 2020
Need better  info that we can understand.
Obviously serious background info needed on the basics otherwise the explanation above as good as falkor's.

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