The "Statistical Imbalance" fallacy

[falkor2k15]

Looking through some old topics, including those of Kimo Li, there's an often repeated claim about "imbalances" that they can help us predict when an event will occur - or that the wheel has to go from a balanced state to an imbalanced state and vice versa, etc.

I've tested the flow of random in terms of a balanced state vs. an imbalanced state and can confirm all states are totally independent of the previous state, hence does not provide any accuracy of prediction, etc.

[Clf7]

Thanks, good to know.

[Joe]

I've tested the flow of random in terms of a balanced state vs. an imbalanced state and can confirm all states are totally independent of the previous state, hence does not provide any accuracy of prediction, etc.

Well, thanks. But you really don't need to do any testing to realize that spins are independent.

[carvigno]

Looking through some old topics, including those of Kimo Li, there's an often repeated claim about "imbalances" that they can help us predict when an event will occur - or that the wheel has to go from a balanced state to an imbalanced state and vice versa, etc.

I've tested the flow of random in terms of a balanced state vs. an imbalanced state and can confirm all states are totally independent of the previous state, hence does not provide any accuracy of prediction, etc.

OHHH Yesss, In the short term you can profit when imbalace towards certain characteristics of the spun numbers happens. You need to have is a deep knowledge of numbers disposition in the wheel and their distinct characteristics. Then use Kimo Li's matrices to track those characteristics and try a sound strategy to catch those imbalances.

link:s://:.vlsroulette.com/index.php?topic=19191.msg156588;topicseen#msg156588

In this link you have all you need to win consistently playing roulette.
In another life i used to be Carpanta and was very active round these forums.

Cheers,
Carlos.

[Steve]

Falkor you'll save time by reading the basics we already know.

[Steve]

OHHH Yesss, In the short term you can profit when imbalace towards certain characteristics of the spun numbers happens. You need to have is a deep knowledge of numbers disposition in the wheel and their distinct characteristics. Then use Kimo Li's matrices to track those characteristics and try a sound strategy to catch those imbalances.

Nah, thats no different to random bets.

[carvigno]

Nah, thats no different to random bets.

Let me disagree.

Spins are random, independent from each other. Outcomes, from time to time, produce streaks that can be profitable for those having sharp eyes..
An example:

   Felipe   
32   21   13
0   9   13
11   30   0
20   35   6
28   31   29
6   23   23
20   25   9
24   20   12
5   34   25
17   29   26
1   7   18
18   6   28
18   27   29
19   19   25
8   23   34
10   33   29
25   8   23
27   1   33

Felipe is one of the dealers from a live online roulette site.  These are actuals spins. Matrix 3 spins per raw. Numbers on top starts the session. Last 17 spins present a clear streak and a great imbalance towards certain number. If you bet 9 high odd numbers in last 15 spins or so,  just following the flow, are you placing random bets?
I guess answer is nah.

Certainly there are more streaks inside this matrix but they are not apparent for those who dont know, dominate or understand Kimo Li's GPM.

Cheers,
Carlos

[gizmotron2]

Well, thanks. But you really don't need to do any testing to realize that spins are independent.

I would not gamble if spins weren't independent. Win streaks and losing streaks happen because of randomness and coincidence. If they happened because of an outside force, like cheating, then it would not be safe to wager money.

[falkor2k15]

Let me disagree.

Spins are random, independent from each other. Outcomes, from time to time, produce streaks that can be profitable for those having sharp eyes..
An example:

   Felipe   
32   21   13
0   9   13
11   30   0
20   35   6
28   31   29
6   23   23
20   25   9
24   20   12
5   34   25
17   29   26
1   7   18
18   6   28
18   27   29
19   19   25
8   23   34
10   33   29
25   8   23
27   1   33

Felipe is one of the dealers from a live online roulette site.  These are actuals spins. Matrix 3 spins per raw. Numbers on top starts the session. Last 17 spins present a clear streak and a great imbalance towards certain number. If you bet 9 high odd numbers in last 15 spins or so,  just following the flow, are you placing random bets?
I guess answer is nah.

Certainly there are more streaks inside this matrix but they are not apparent for those who dont know, dominate or understand Kimo Li's GPM.

Cheers,
Carlos

Fallacy. As I said each bet you place or each collection of bets you place are independent of the previous:
*spin
*balanced/imbalanced state
*wave
*streak

So there is no "going with the flow" because you can't predict what a streak/wave will do since it's next action(s) are independent of previous action(s).

[Kimo Li]

Looking through some old topics, including those of Kimo Li, there's an often repeated claim about "imbalances" that they can help us predict when an event will occur - or that the wheel has to go from a balanced state to an imbalanced state and vice versa, etc.

I've tested the flow of random in terms of a balanced state vs. an imbalanced state and can confirm all states are totally independent of the previous state, hence does not provide any accuracy of prediction, etc.

Have you read my book?

[Kimo Li]

Falkor you'll save time by reading the basics we already know.

Steve, have you read my book?

[falkor2k15]

Have you read my book?

How expensive is it? Do you have a link?

[Kimo Li]

Let me disagree.

Spins are random, independent from each other. Outcomes, from time to time, produce streaks that can be profitable for those having sharp eyes..
An example:

   Felipe   
32   21   13
0   9   13
11   30   0
20   35   6
28   31   29
6   23   23
20   25   9
24   20   12
5   34   25
17   29   26
1   7   18
18   6   28
18   27   29
19   19   25
8   23   34
10   33   29
25   8   23
27   1   33

Felipe is one of the dealers from a live online roulette site.  These are actuals spins. Matrix 3 spins per raw. Numbers on top starts the session. Last 17 spins present a clear streak and a great imbalance towards certain number. If you bet 9 high odd numbers in last 15 spins or so,  just following the flow, are you placing random bets?
I guess answer is nah.

Certainly there are more streaks inside this matrix but they are not apparent for those who dont know, dominate or understand Kimo Li's GPM.

Cheers,
Carlos

Hello Carlos,

It been years since being active on any forum. I must say. You have a clear observations and understanding how characteristics play an important role in betting predictions. I see you understand as well the importance of knowing the location of each number.

Kimo

[Kimo Li]

How expensive is it? Do you have a link?

Depends, the cost of a nice breakfast, anywhere from 15.00 to 130.00 (collector's item) on Amazon (don't need to post link), a small price for an eye opening education.

[falkor2k15]

Depends, the cost of a nice breakfast, anywhere from 15.00 to 130.00 (collector's item) on Amazon (don't need to post link), a small price for an eye opening education.

Is it based on physics or mathematics? The reviews look quite mixed...