The "Statistical Imbalance" fallacy

[carvigno]

@ HouseWifes,

You should probably go back to the kitchen, where you belong.

This is the saddest and most unfortunate comment I read in this thread. Was it to celebrate the international day of women, today March 8?

[Steve]

This is the saddest and most unfortunate comment I read in this thread. Was it to celebrate the international day of women, today March 8?

This is your second warning, Taotie.

Again, women are for reproduction only.

(And if women dont have a sense of humor, stiff shit. Aussie women usually do, and give the same shit back to men. And we dont go crying)

[Steve]

I was kidding of course.

Women also cook.

[Joe]

This Model gives a 0,00355 % return on investment flat betting, not exactly attractive but it's a proof that modeling uncertainty is a possibility.

If you do a hypothesis test you'll find that the result isn't statistically significant, and no statistical model, Bayesian or otherwise, can predict outcomes in independent trials from past results. That's what 'independence' means.

[Bebediktus3]

Coronavirus come to the forum

[Steve]

Housewifes, what the f*ck are you talking about?

You are speaking in riddles. If you have a genuine message to convey, speak in terms people understand and dont need to decode.

[Kali49]

If you do a hypothesis test you'll find that the result isn't statistically significant, and no statistical model, Bayesian or otherwise, can predict outcomes in independent trials from past results. That's what 'independence' means.

Independence doesn't mean you can't play and win using the right strategy.

This Model gives 30% return on investment, way beyond statistical significance.

[Kali49]

THE end if the be beginning
link:s://youtu.be/o0W91FrTlYk

[gizmotron2]

THE end if the beginning?

It is if you are unForgiven

link:s://:.youtube.com/watch?v=Ckom3gf57Yw

[Steve]

Kimo i havent had time to respond to everything you said. I wont. I already looked into your claims and approaches more than was needed. I hoped you had at least something to offer, but didn't look into your strategies and claims much until now.

Sorry its clear you're not an honest person, and anyone who uses your methods will eventually lose, like with typical losing systems. You still have some gullible and inexperienced fools following you. They'll learn eventually.

[carvigno]

Sorry its clear you're not an honest person, and anyone who uses your methods will eventually lose, like with typical losing systems. You still have some gullible and inexperienced fools following you. They'll learn eventually.

It is clear you dont know Kimo. If you did you would know he is as honest as the  most honest person you can meet.
He was honest enough to write a book  to make people aware that every pocket in the wheel has its characteristics. He gave the tools and hinted matrices to track what's going on the the wheel.
It is visual balistic but not in the way you know it.  Do you crtiticy him because is not a gullible and an inexperienced fool to give away for nothing a winning method? Why after so much time and effort employed to make his findings would he give others the money printing machine? It would be stupid, and dishonest towards those who had to make the road on their own or paid for it if it were the case.
It is clear you dont believe him but that doesn make him dishonest.

[Joe]

This Model gives 30% return on investment, way beyond statistical significance.

Congrats, then. Looks like you have a grail. I'd like to hear from someone on this forum who doesn't have one.   

[Joe]

You still have some gullible and inexperienced fools following you. They'll learn eventually.

I suggested to Kimo that he get his system coded and set up a web site where users can input spins and it will tell you what to bet. That is the only foolproof way of proving that a system works, and at the same time the author can protect his intellectually property and also get a passive income. Everyone's a winner. He could hire a programmer to do the work, however his excuse for not wanting to do it was that he's not good with computers. Is that a credible reason? 

[Taotie]

Housewifes, what the f*ck are you talking about?

You are speaking in riddles. If you have a genuine message to convey, speak in terms people understand and dont need to decode.

Yes, or go back to the kitchen where you belong.

[Taotie]

Oink, oink. Bitches be bitches.