DISCUSSION The very best regarding trending.

[ego]

Hello.

[Bayes]

ego, in reply #8 of your thread, you say that:

Now take any serie with any length and give it the value one.
Take all singles event that appers and give them the value one.

Shouldn't that be zero? because further on you give this example:

Now if this two state level or hovering we will get one of each alternating and it looks like this.
RRR B RRR B RRRR B RRRR B RR B or with values +1+0+1+0+1+0+1+0+1+0

unless I've misunderstood...

[ego]

You allways have a good eye for details :-)

Well if there is no distribution where there is no formations of series of series following each other and if there is no distribution where there is singels of singels following each other then you have the following zero point of imbalance in both direction.

The definition is that i wrote +1+0+1+0+1+0+1+0 because that sequence using the math and probability dictates the distribution of the law of series has no present state as the both state vanish with each otter with out any imbalance app er in one out of two possible direction.
If some one want to it would be the same as illustrate it as +1+1+1+1+1+1+1 with out none of the formation of singel series and singles singels developins series of series or series of singels.

To make it more easy to illustrate The Flower would be to use +1 for one sere no matter Lent and -1 for one singel event which is the two op piste states to grow and create short tiny and medium and large sequence of imbalance using STD to measuring does state with one of the cognitional values that i post or just observe how the distribution unfold it self with formations of 234567 and so on - then we would have +1-1+1-1+1-1+1-1+1-1.

For me personally as there is no imbalance in any direction i think +1+0+1+0 illustrate it very well and no matter what of the other two state of formation of imbalance the bench mark of +1+0+1+0+1+0 will grow imbalance as +1+0+1+0+1+2+3+

[ego]

If some one would like to use number then it would become the following using The Flower.

RRR B RRR B RRR B RRR B RRR = +1+0+1+0+1+0+1

Then when it grow in any direction one could apply + and - to illustrate the movment of the distriubution when it unfold - exampel when some one would like to make a code or simulation software.

RRR B RRR B RRR B RRR B RRR BB = +1+0+1+0+1+0+1+0+1+2

or

RRR B RRR B RRR B RRR B RRR B R B = +1+0+1+0+1+0+1+0-1-2 and not -3 as we dont know what the last even will be.

The negative expctation with The Flower is if the following will happen.

[ego]

The Negative Expectation - with out strong imbalance and chaos would be the following.

You only get The Flower to hovering a zero point.
Next state you only get The Flower to hovering at zero point with formation of series of two.
Nest state you only get The Flower to hovering at zero point with formation of series of two and three.

Now if there apper a significan change using one of the playing models with conditional values then a serie of four would indicate a tendency towards that - my opinion.
Then after that state no matter you attack or not the formation of series of two is intressting as option to attack to a certan degree - depending on how many attacks and what kind of march.

The Negative Expectation is the back to back and a strict distribution that unfold it self with out any larger waves of imbalance or a mix of bout - as in chaos - to have the oppertunity to capture does formations.

Trending is the same as tendency play when there is a reason as you observe a significant change towards what you expect to unfold and become imbalance in one or bouth directions.

[Bayes]

Ok, I get it.   

I have another question regarding post #5:

Some different methods to study.

1:1
Series of 2 has the value of 1
Series of 3 has the value of 0
Series of 4 has the value of 1
Series of 5 has the value of 2 and so on - skip singels as they have value 0

1:2
Series of 3 has the value of 1
Series of 4 has the value of 0
Series of 5 has the value of 1
Series of 6 has the value of 2 and so on - skip series of 2 and singels as they have value 0

Advance.

Isolated singels has the value 0
Series of 2 singels has the value of 1
Series of 3 singels has the value of 0
Series of 4 singels has the value of 1
Series of 5 singels has the value of 2 and so on - skip isolatid singels as they have value 0

Series of 3 singels has the value of 1
Series of 4 singels has the value of 0
Series of 5 singels has the value of 1
Series of 6 singels has the value of 2 and so on - skip isolated singels and series of 2 singels as they have value 0

You've mentioned these alternatives on other forums, but I've never understood the logic of why, for example, in 1:1, series of 3 should have the value 0?

Is this just so that you can use the same formula for SD in all the different methods?

[ego]

No matter how - so does the same apply here that is does not matter where you find this state.
The strenght behind the state dictates what kind of formation you can expect to unfold in the future.
With very high probability you know they will show and be present - but is not the same thing as to now how to capture does formations.

[ego]

Is this just so that you can use the same formula for SD in all the different methods?

Yes it is so you know how to measuring when some-thing is overdue to a certan degree - imbalance and you use STD to measuring the bias of the state/wave/formation.

Lets assume you have 100 trails with only singels and series of two present - then ask your self if you are going to observe series of three and series of four and series of five and so on for the next 200 trails - the answer is yes you will - so inderect you know what will apper and be present in the future - but you have to ask your self if a serie of three is a signigicant change towards a strong tendency toward present change to try to capture present change or is it after a series of four you should start to attack series of two to get longer or will it tend to go back to back and hit 6.0 STD or 12.0 STD  and even if does then how many attempts did you waste when you attack - maybe 3 bets to capture some kind of correction - that would mean that you could continue to play - just a simpel exampel.