Sequence Analyzer

[Bayes]

What is it?

Software which lets you run analyses of spin sequences, using "filters" which you specify. The spins can come from a file which you provide, or they can be generated from an internal RNG. The program gives some statistics regarding the sequences, and also lets you play each sequence (plus any number of spins following the sequence).

How does it work?

It splits the spins in a file or from the RNG into "sessions", and each session is analyzed according to the criteria which you set. Every session is saved, but the session numbers of those which meet the criteria are optionally "played back". Sessions are mutually exclusive (there is no overlap between them). After each analysis, you can play the sessions one spin at a time. You will get a message when you get to the end of a session, and you can either skip to the next session which meets the criteria, or continue playing the spins which occurred after the session.

How do I use it?

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Step 1: On the left hand side, there are 2 lists, one containing the numbers 0-36, the other the outside bets. Click any of these and they will be transferred into the box to the left of the "CLR" button. These are the bets which will be analyzed.

Step 2: Select either "Use Spin File", then navigate to and select the file, or "Use RNG". The RNG option will generate 1.5 Million spins each time an analysis is run.

Step 3: Enter a number into the "Spins/Session" box. The length of a session must be at least 1 and can be of any length up to the number of spins in the file (or not more than 1.5M spins if using the RNG option).

Step 4: Enter a number into the "Spins >=" box. The number you put here is the lower limit of the number of wins required and must be at least zero.

Step 5: Enter a number into the "Spins <=" box. The number you put here is the upper limit of the number of wins required and must be at least as big as the number which you put in the "Spins >=" box.

Step 6: Click the "ANALYZE!" button. The box under the "Statistics" label will fill with data. This will be explained shortly. Note that if using the RNG option, a new set of spins will be generated on each analysis, so the statistics may change slightly between runs.

Step 7 (optional): Assuming you have some sessions available, the program will now give you 1 spins for each click on the "Get Next Spin" button at the bottom of the program window. Sessions will be loaded in the order they were generated. When you get to the end of a session, you will get a message:

"End of session. Click YES to jump to the next session, or NO to continue"

If you click NO, then clicking the "Get Next Spin" button will display the spins following that session. If you click YES, the marquee will be cleared, and the next session (if there is one) will be loaded - again click "Get Next Spin" to see the spins in this session. At any point you can click "Goto Next Session", which will cancel the current session and load the next one.

The "CLR" button will clear any numbers or bets you have ready for analysis in the box. This will clear ALL the numbers, but you can also remove one number/bet at a time by clicking on it.

The Layout/Racetrack button at the top of the program changes the display in the list of numbers on the left. The default is one number after another (as you see on the layout), but clicking it will change to a wheel-based order of numbers (starting at 0 and ending at 26). This is just a time saving feature for those who want to run sector or wheel-based analyses, and makes it easier to select sectors of the wheel.

What are the statistics?

I will explain each of them shown in the screenshot, starting from the top.

The first line just tells you how many numbers you selected for the analysis. So "18 numbers bet" means that because you selected Red, there were 18 numbers.

The second line tells you how many sessions were generated. This is just the number of spins in the file (or else 1.5 Million if you used the RNG) divided by the number you input into the "Spins/Session" box. So in the screenshot, 15000 = 1.5 million / 100.

The third line tells you how many met the criteria you input into the the "Wins >=" and "Wins <=" boxes. In other words, how many were "filtered". In this case, only 41 sessions got through, because it's rare to get a sequence of 100 spins with less than 36 reds.

The fourth line, "P = 0.27%" gives you (as a percentage), the number of sessions which met the criteria, divided by the total number of sessions. So in this case, it was 41/15000. This is actually a definition of probability, so you can use the program as a kind of probability calculator, but just keep in mind that for a probability to be valid, there must be a large number of sessions (ideally at least a few thousand). The larger the number of sessions, the closer the probability will be to the "true" probability. If you are using a file with only 100 spins in it, any analysis of it will NOT give a valid probability.

The fifth line is just another way of stating the probability. So 1 every 365.85 is just another way of saying "P = 0.27%", but it's sometimes more intuitive to have a probability expressed in this way.

The sixth line "Min Gap: 29" tells you the shortest "gap" between sessions which met the criteria. If the gap had been 0, it would mean that there were at least 2 sessions next to each which both had less than 36 reds, meaning that somewhere in the 1.5 million spins there was a sequence of 200 spins which had less than 70 reds. In this case (because the gap was 29), there was no such sequence.

The seventh line "Max Gap: 745" gives the longest gap between sessions which met the criteria.

The eighth and final line tells you how many wins are in the currently loaded session. This is updated each time you run an analysis or reach the end of a session, so when you are prompted by the program to either "continue" or skip to the next session, in either case you will get the number of wins in the session you're about to play.

The program is easy to use, but sometimes you have to think carefully about what numbers you need to put into the boxes in order to answer specific questions. I'll be giving some examples in another post.

Have fun with it!  

P.S. When you click on a number or outside bet, sometimes there will be a duplicate transferred to the list if you have an outside bet selected AND a number which is itself included in the outside bet. For example, if you have selected "Dozen 1" and then click the number 3, (or vice versa) then both bets will remain in the box. This is really a bug, but a harmless one, because when the analysis is run there will only be 12 numbers analysed, not 13.  

[Twisteruk]

Thanx Bayes 

Looks Awesome 

[Fripper]

Thanks Bayes!

I will see what I can do with it now

[aleks06]

thank you bayes.

It looks amazing. 

[Fripper]

Have tested a little and I seem to get how I use it.
Have tested several things and it's just amazing 

Can I somehow take the spins generated out to a text file or so?
Sometimes we get 10 sessions and then maybe we want to take the spins into a text file.

Is it possible now? Maybe I've just missed it.

If not then maybe you can add a button which copies all the spins in the marquee and then we can manually paste them into a text file.
What do you think?

Cheers

[Fripper]

Had another idea.

Maybe a button which runs all the spins directly. It's a little time consuming to press "next spin" like 100 or 200 spins for every session.

[Bayes]

Thanks for the feedback guys. I will add a "Save" button which appends the currently loaded session to a text file when you click it, the file can then be loaded into a spreadsheet. 

Maybe a button which runs all the spins directly. It's a little time consuming to press "next spin" like 100 or 200 spins for every session.

The only thing I would caution is that if you're not careful, when you have the entire sequence in front of you, it's easy to "curve fit" the results. Getting one spin at a time means that you can't do that - just like in a real casino, so there's less chance of you (maybe unconsciously) making decisions that you wouldn't make if you didn't know the outcomes in advance...  In any case, having a "Save" option will have the same function as running all the spins directly, it's just that they won't be displayed in the program, but in a separate file.

The stats which are given with each analysis can give you a lot of useful info regarding the "limits" of randomness, but I need to post some examples showing what you need to put in the fields to get answers, and how to interpret the stats. There are particular patterns of input which will give you info regarding certain types of question, such as, "what is the longest losing run for bet X?".

Later.

[Fripper]

Thanks for the feedback guys. I will add a "Save" button which appends the currently loaded session to a text file when you click it, the file can then be loaded into a spreadsheet. 

Nice, looking forward to it

Yes, maybe it's better to manually click them. You are probably right..

[Bayes]

Ok, the program now has the option to save the results. They will be appended to a text file called "results.txt". Note that when you request a new session a "****" will separate previous results, and if it's just a continuation of the spins a "----" will be used as a separator.

[aleks06]

Bayes,

I was wondering if there is a way to use this software to find the worst session for the 3 even chances played at the same time ?

[Bayes]

Hi aleks,

No problem, just click red, odd, high or whatever selection you want and then fill in the text boxes.

[aleks06]

thanks for your answer,

actually thats what i was doing.


my problem is if i choose red, odd and high the software will count as a win if any red, odd or high number come out. so I only loose on number 2, 4, 6, 8 and 10.

what i would like to find is for instance a session of 200 spins with 70 reds, 73 odd and 78 high.

I hope you get what i mean 

[Bayes]

Yes, I see what you mean. OK the best way to find what you're looking for is to use the online binomial distribution calculator.

Since the ECs are all independent of each other, you can do 3 separate calculations and multiply the results together. Here's one for at most 80 hits in 200 spins:

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Now do the same for the other 2 ECs using the numbers you're interested in and multiply the 3 probabilities together. The probability will be very small when using those numbers you posted, pretty close to zero in fact. Note that you should use the 'at most' option rather than 'exactly' in the calculator because the chance that you will get an exact predetermined number of losses is very small and isn't really what you want to know.

[aleks06]

thank you very much bayes.


for instance :

n=200 p=0,5

we bet Red, we want at most 70R in 200 spins

P1(X) at most 70 =0,00001

we bet Odd we want at most 70O in 200 spins

P2=0,00001

we bet high we want at most 70H in 200 spins

P3=0,00001


The probability to find these 3 sessions at the same time is

P1 x P2 x P3 = 0,00003

correct ?

[Fripper]

The probability to find these 3 sessions at the same time is

P1 x P2 x P3 = 0,00003

correct ?

I just checked in the calculator and got:

0.00001 * 0.00001 * 0.00001 = 0,000000000000001