BEYOND COMMON SENSE

[XXVV]

Purpose of this thread is to take the previous theme to a new level yet continue the semi-blog format but keep the flow uninterrupted, thus streamlining the previous material and building a new framework step by step toward enhancing professional play.  Best xx v v

[XXVV]

Have decided to commence a new campaign in March.

Need to prepare for this and refine new strategies. How to quickly respond to adverse flow, ie chop. This time there will be new locations, new casinos, and new countries. This could be a travelling show. Details will follow in coming days.

[XXVV]

Starting to build a real focus of preferred bets and understanding of why they work. If the explanations do not match results then will toss out the earlier bet versions and re-build.

Emphasise I really like good return to outlay, and prefer to outlay smaller number of chips instinctively. Looking for ways to find and sense opportunities for consistency.

So am considering always possibly better options or perhaps better ways to play.

Clearly massive research and testing must preface real play and I understand this more and more, much as I hate testing.

Lou Holloway points out in no uncertain terms most players enter the casino ill prepared in bank size. Massively ill prepared. He advises if not properly funded stay away!! That will separate the compulsive gamblers from the real players who want to succeed professionally.

Hence the current phase of at least 2/3weeks of further preparation.

The military/ naval analogies are obvious. After the campaign - come back for the refit and re-supply and de-brief all the new knowledge, and re-distribute the profits!

[XXVV]

New campaign starts a week today with new casino and toe in the water approach to new setting and new more Asian vibe as the city is large and a major port. Meeting an associate so will be planning over lunch a two day exploration of favoured methods, and then travelling south for a solo two week fresh campaign at my favoured boutique casino near the mountains.

I will note the methods we use and their relative success, in a few weeks.

Still like a bear with a sore head, nursing the bruises from a disastrous testing failure yesterday. It shakes the confidence, but am grateful the flaw was caught without financial cost.

Certainly got a mounting sense of excitement though over the fresh opportunities ahead.

[XXVV]

As per C/S have gone back to play for streaks.

This is the pro way and a simple entry trigger and exit strategy is all you need.

There are various sources of streaks and EC bets provide plenty if you have patience, but as elsewhere mentioned there are more consistent options. Research will provide these. Then you have to test your ideas.

The exit strategy on the test I use is simply a double loss.

Will report soon with some specific results.

To give you some idea of the care I am going to I am testing 5 sets of 30 sessions to be certain of the most conservative of criteria for entry and exit. I am 80% through and although flat staking of course and with the double loss as a clunky exit point, am achieving good consistent uptrend in the order of +0.7units per spin. However note the reality check. There can be slow or negative passages and losses as long as 15 games ( flat staking characteristic).

But I believe now a 500 unit bank is the right balance. With a more subjective exit point I believe we can build return steadily higher.

Will start next campaign on Tuesday.

[XXVV]

Hunting the streaks is the priority now.

Extra research was needed and after a week of setbacks, the way is now clear with some final tuning. C/S thread shows the strategic matrix now being developed for betting sequences, a bit like blackjack strategy format.

Will now start live in about 4-5 days after travel.

Good Hunting.

[XXVV]

OK Hunting the streaks.

Over the next week will be re-visiting many key roulette books, writers and players to see the best way to organise this approach.

An important principle will be to try to ensure risk exposure is reduced by having a method that repays a good dividend in relation to cost. So if the run is abruptly terminated we can pick ourselves up and continue after a short recovery.

First writer to be reviewed will be LG Holloway in Full Time Gambler looking at his data on the EC streaks, their relative frequencies and his hints as to what we should be tabulating in order to give us leads for best professional plays. More in a few days.

[XXVV]

Have taken 10 days out to totally review and reflect on some dramatic new information and realisations that, yes, go beyond common sense.

Thanks that the Iceman re-cometh.

Also to German max thoroughness and European love and true knowledge of the game (Ecart).

Will report soon.

[XXVV]

Sometimes the phases we move through in our personal lives are like the phenomena of Nature that we encounter, and there can be calm still days; there can be squally and equinox type unstable conditions; and there can be storms.

It is great to feel connected to this great source of energy and if ever you are at a low ebb, all you have to do is tune in and be restored! Not always as simple but in principle there is truth in this. I am a Romantic Poet at heart.

So it is with this study and passion for roulette.

Sometimes, and in moments of greater clarity ( no mist or fog), you can map your journey and plan your path toward a pre -determined goal. Do you know where you are heading in this Quest? Have you defined the object of your desire and just what you want. As 'they' say, be careful what you wish for however. There are consequences.

Sometimes I have to be alone, and I have find some peace, away from the intrusions and distractions of the world, and of those who seek attention.

I am not interested in making great claims here.

I simply want to help myself and in so doing help others move forward on a goal which we all individually define, but generally will agree that we seek to understand more about the true nature of roulette, and thereby learn to access from its hidden treasures, some consistent success in generating worthwhile income from our investment of time and material resources therein.

This is no easy task.

However, step by step, we are moving forward. I know this because I compare my understanding now to what it was a week ago, a month ago, and a year ago.

Then it is a matter of turning our understanding into concrete proof and growing confidence in demonstratable methods and strategies that will bring us success.

Nor is that an easy task.

First its the understanding, then the methods and then the application.

The last bit, the human part, is where we have to look within and come to know ourselves. That is the hardest bit.

Point of this little note today though is to state that the understanding part is coming down to a series of relatively simple steps based on sound principles.

Despite the various approaches within this Forum, and the personalities of those who contribute, I believe there will be broad agreement in keeping our play as simple and effective as possible, although the theory behind may be complex.

Over the next 4-6 weeks or so I am going to try to focus on these key principles within this and my other threads to hammer out a plan of attack that works and that can be applied by any deserving member of RFcc.

At this stage I can mention several methods involving Matrix variations, the works of JL, and his friends, the method kindly demonstrated by Mr Iceman, and the earlier inputs regarding the so called pppcbet and various applications which continue even now, and of course several other worthy creations we see posted. Please do not be offended if I have not mentioned specific names or titles.

My spotlight will focus on those that can be applied in short cycles, probably that apply the principle of a bet within a bet, and where possible can be flat staked or at least where a short step progression is applied within reason.

The essence seems to be to be able to read the current game accurately sufficiently well to apply the appropriate method, and to read also the time to enter and the time to step aside, preferably with profit using proven money management methods that you have drilled yourself into applying .

Time and time again I hear and see the smartest/ wisest suggest +3 or +4 units as a worthy goal, and with, we would suggest, a downside no worse than -8 and with a strike rate so that there will be many more winning sessions than losing sessions, within reason, ie a good P/E ratio.

It seems to me that is the way for the professional player, also with probable usage of outside table bets primarily.

Of course there are times and short cycle ecart opportunities for inside table work but these may be relatively rare, and secondary methods.

We want to earn consistently, and without excess stress, so increasing the value of the chips to suit a satisfactory return is our goal. I do it by stringing a compounding 10% return to the units. Then stringing 10-20 winning sessions together.

Others have programs where the values can be stepped at key trigger points of bank value, suitably conservatively geared.

At the other end of the scale is the player who wants a long haul approach. Each to his own, but in this case no better way forward can be found as supported by Norman Squire, than targetting just one number and be prepared for anything.

I used to watch a player do just this and every day he would play exclusively number 17.

Of course there were days when he left and two spins later it appeared, but he derived some grim satisfaction in beating the Casino most days.

However I think he was no professional.

So todays message is to recommend short effective sessions with modest realistic target goals and unit values that are adequate but that are capable of being tuned up. Its quite simple when summarised like that.

Then will come the "seasons" to test your skills.

More detail will follow on the other threads.

Good Fortune XXVV

[XXVV]

Thinking allowed....

1000 games tested of D+C

Remarkable streaks and lots of thoughts on progressions and many staking measures, as well as triggers and short cycle, small edge gains.

Longest streak without going to a fourth step of a progression 137.

Thats quite a deviation. Its +111 points.

Will set out on the Divide + Conquer thread.

Am referring back to discussion on the ten best staking methods.

[XXVV]

Context - staking and attack play

link:://rouletteforum.cc/general-discussion/roulette-book-review

in particular parlay, positive progression and some other techniques.

[XXVV]

Testing of D+C variations is on that thread Divide + Conquer
500 game analysis supports 'hit and run' attack method.

[XXVV]

That work is now completed with a fine trawl of new bets.

I will be having a look at the third wheel variations along with dozens and columns for some overlaps and possible inside table betting applications.

[XXVV]

Sometimes it is good to climb up on a hill and just sit and reflect.

An overview on a lot of recent activity and I think, away from all the bluster, the hype, the enthusiasm, and forces which are quite divisive if we permit too much information to obscure our vision, a way forward professionally needs to be clear, direct and simple.

I have never been a fan of any form of progression , although in short steps they may have a use.

What I am now looking for and wishing to apply is a bet, or bets that can be 'abstracted', ie drawn from base bets emerging from the best of available methods that are quite flexible in handling the variations that randomness can produce.

Abstract Art was always a mystery to me until I really understood one day just what the great Masters like Picasso, Braque, Bonnard, deKooning, Chagall, sought to express. They wanted to enhance what we see and take insight to a new level, sometimes showing several viewpoints simultaneously, or taking focus on one detail and making an enhanced reality of that colour or texture, to give us more.

In other words they wanted to get below the surface and through their genius show us fresh vistas, new relationships, we never realised were there.

The same applies in all creative work.

The designer/ artist is making a statement, has something to say, is giving us more.

Well the same principle applies with development of primary and secondary bets in roulette.
We are looking deeper into the game and through our insight and understanding we can enhance our returns, and express our understanding of relationships that work below the surface of things.

Why shouldn't a fine bet be a thing of beauty.

So the characteristics of the new primary bet ( the base bet is termed secondary) are that it be simple, effective, elegant and flat.

That is the goal of the study ahead to find bets that have relatively universal application, and that can be applied in the terms of understanding 'the true nature of roulette'.

The bets thus can be relatively high value and applied in short cycles of activity, and during phases where a small positive edge can be gained over the house.

The workshop will explore some of the current frameworks that may provide such opportunities.

[XXVV]

Its like Michelangelo looking at a block of stone and visualising within that block what he imaged as the essence of his desire.

He carved away all that was unessential. He stripped the stone away until the point was reached of engineered perfection.

As it is with the engineering of a bridge or structure; there is a point of greatest efficiency whilst also building in safety factors- a sort of muscular extra strength.

Buckminster Fuller called it a form of synergy where the sum was greater than its parts in effectiveness.

What a wonder of creation.

Those same principles can and should be applied to our engineering of perfected bets, working within certain realms.

We are striving for peak efficiency and that is found through trial and error.

That just takes time and patience, and a vision.