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BEYOND COMMON SENSE

Started by XXVV, Feb 14, 05:54 PM 2011

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XXVV

Heuristic means study by trial and error using experimental data.


Since we are going beyond common sense we will utilise intuition which I have seen defined as "reason taken to the nth degree" , ie super reason in the idiom of this time.


We need to look beneath the surface, and in the universe of roulette that means                    reading the Ecart.


The status of the Ecart is crucial in terms of the characteristics of the bet you apply, as to whether you work with the tide or against it.


Ecart is a force of Nature.


In that crazy glitzy mad house of your Vegas wannabee casino who would have thought something so natural would  be/ is pivotal to your success.


I have heard luck is important but when the Casino Duty Manager recently congratulated me on a big jackpot win, he said 'you were in the right place at the right time'.


That is true. I used roulette profits and shoveled 10% onto a slots machine adjacent to the tables that I had watched from time to time.


I had had many smaller dividends over time using the same approach, but this time the planets were in alignment and yes so were the red cherries.


That machine and its sisters have since been removed from the casino. In my view it was too generous. But I don't feel guilty, just an opportunist.

XXVV

Exponential is a beautiful word.


An increase exponentially is a rapid increase and one that is a function of a natural force.


A wonderful goal would be to set your gains to compound exponentially given that your understanding of the mathematics of the game is of Nature, ie natural, and not forced or artificial.


Perhaps if you can balance harmoniously the energies in roulette, then at times you can draw off profit at will.


The terms of that profit will have to responsibly respect the true nature of roulette.


Short cycles of small profit.

XXVV

When there are elegant and legal means to play roulette and consistently win, why would you wish or need to do anything else.

XXVV

Based on flat staking results after a robust 100,000 spin live spin analysis using data from various trusted sources, the reverse bet technique I have described on this forum seems to achieve at least +5% positive edge.


We know we fight -2.7% if in Europe but with more leverage applied to the technique, such as a short progression, or a Whittacker progression, the edge increases.


It is great to move Beyond Common Sense.


Best
XXVV

XXVV

The edge can be increased by selective stop /starts.

I believe within the context of the bet I have developed and now knowing its characteristics after a robust sample of live data ( 100,000 spins), it is sensible when flat staking to take profit at +8 units or more, and +15 or more using the sensible seven step Whittacker Progression and taking a stop loss at 21 units if the bet for an eighth step is required.

I can also advise that if you wait for an adverse correction ( ie 8 or more) then in +97% of sequences after when playing for say 7 outcomes, then success will follow.

Furtyer bya pplying the moving averages which I have elsewhere referred to as XX and YY, then  bet efficiency can increase by a further +30%.

This means +5% edge becomes +6.7% edge.

Best XXVV

XXVV

There are further refinements which can be added.


I have reviewed 30,000 live spins from the casino where I am now based and as these were played by me over the past2-3 years I trust the data and the recording and it is tested session by session - note not added seamlessly.


By analysis of these results asking key questions I look at distribution curves of data and can heuristically arrive at most efficient bet parameters in fine tuning for extra percentage points.


One way for example is that in flat staking the reverse bet I have found that the most efficient place to stop and take profit is after 3.27 consecutive wins, thus achieving an average +6 units.


In other words quit at +5


Then re-set and re-start after a pause.


Work at (eventually) higher value units to make your efforts really pay off at all levels.


R
XXVV




XXVV

With ongoing live play testing of sessions of 100 spins, I have found no situation that was a waring that we were on the wrong track here.


Keep playing flat and even if you land in a hole it will relatively quickly be repaired. This can be accelerated if you time your entry and exit with more care. You cant get it always right but I have found remarkable and consistent profits with this approach.


If you would like to comment or add to my research please feel free to PM me.


Best XXVV

XXVV

Will be updating soon on current play and including some  new research ideas.


XXVV

Here are a few ideas that you can research to develop worthwhile new bets.


There are short, medium and long cycle trends that can be observed and tuned into.


As discussed before short clusters of a winning finale  (say in groups of three) can be 'read'.


Likewise there are 37 numbers in the single zero wheel so cycles of 36+ spins can be investigated.


There are some 'triggers' for betting these that are more effective. You can research through trial and error on big sample testing, ie more than 20,000 spins.


We have found some that are relatively consistently successful. A hint here is that the original trigger target must make a strong 'impact'. Like a ripple in a pond it will have wavelike consequences.


This is a serious level of work.


I call it 'wave theory'.


Also on a simpler but nevertheless still effective basis, you can play to 'follow the dominant' in short cycles, such as dominant red or even. To assemble a +5 unit haul may be all you need in a mini session.


In reverse bet theory I have found obtaining +5 units in a sequence is the most efficient outcome. Lots of nibbles like that really add up. Say in 10 sessions you obtained 8 outcomes averaging +5 and then 2 were at zero or -1 outcomes. This would be a wonderful strategy.


The most I have obtained in a swing win cycle is +20 units flat staking on reverse bets. In a losing sequence it usually does not get much worse, but I cover for 30 units just in case. But best to exit before any big descent and climb on board for the inevitable positive correction. In these you can easily grab +5 or more.


Most important of all is to find the 'bet characteristics', and relative 'volatility' of your new bet.


You need a 'smarter' bet.


In the above is compressed 18 months of latest research and very successful work.


Good Hunting XXVV




XXVV

I will be posting some news very soon and commenting on latest results and ideas. It is all very positive and increasingly is a synthesis, a blending, of the sum of knowledge from 20 years of roulette.
Best XXVV

amk

Look forward to your post XXVV.

Tomla021

Always interesting to see what the XXXXV is up to,, good luck
"No Whining, just Winning"

XXVV

Mmmmm....  Where do I start!


This has been a fantastic and crazy period of personal experiences and I can say that the outcomes of random roulette working within the table parameters present opportunities and clarity far simpler than some of the random events of Nature or the Markets.


I will post some thoughts soon which will illustrate this statement but first let me give an example from a live session the other afternoon.


I use the live casino ( boutique scale - usually quiet and calm within) as therapy for the craziness of life 'outside'.  lol ....


Here we go. I put $10 ( 10 units into a rapid roulette screen - live dealer).


That +10 became +105 so I cashed out.


There was another opportunity in zero section staking and within three further short 3-5 spin sessions - hit and run- the original +10 became +235.


So I watched a $2 unit table and a change of dealer.


I climbed on board a sniff of zero and 3 numbers either side.


Here were the outcomes...


10
0
6
0
34
0
25
32
17
35
0


Now thats about as friendly as you can wish for in penultimate cycle bets.


So +10 became +450.


I took profit and on an original table retreated -75, so cut and ran.


Sometimes if you have seen previous cycle patterns you can just wait for them to show and climb on.


My two favourites are...


0 to 34 and neighbours


13 to 31 and neighbours.


Sometimes it just resonates, and when it does hit it hard!


More soon and back to reverse bet theory as well.


Best


XXVV

XXVV

Here is a sequence I played last night at the boutique casino.


14
14
27
28
32
11
35
14


32
18
28
32
29
33
5
26
36
34
26
36
9
30
3
8
27
4
15
1
3
8
21
2
28
11
13
15
13
30
35
11
5
22
17
3


3
0
3
14
35
0
0


1
26
5
3
24
34




------


This is an example of a platinum opportunity.


All that is required is the patience to wait for events/ circumstances like this to roll around.


Randomness will provide these events often.


As a hint look at the relation of 28 and 32
and also the events 3 and 8.


Note that the warm to hot numbers over the 200 spin range before and during this passage :


17  32  0  6


Note the relationship of my favourite Zero (or neighbours) to 34 ( or neighbours).


Note the extraordinary clustering around Zero


I have provided other hints.


Good Hunting.


XXVV




XXVV

Further to the recent post, some other detail....


Time and time again while watching there can be extraordinary little patterns which are facets of the random behaviour we witness.


For example the tendency for 23 to 32 and vice versa


The extraordinary 13 to 31 and even 12 to 21.


Also the formidable 0 to 34.


As earlier stated these little opportunities can be direct or with neighbours and yes probably if monitored ad infinitum would simply reveal a 1:37 ratio. Nevertheless in the short term they cluster and when running warm to hot are very opportunistic.


This is not a winning method but simply and importantly another trigger when the time is right.


Its all about timing.   lol  !!!


XXVV

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