Technical investment analysis methods applied to roulette

[Nickmsi]

Ran a couple more quick 25 sets of 300 spins each using only the SMA or the EMA numbers.  Flat betting only. 

For SMA numbers 6 or higher:

1st 100 spins:    2    Totals at 2nd 100 spins:    -5    Totals at 300 spins:   8

For EMA numbers of 6 or higher:

1st 100 spins:    18    Totals at 2nd 100 spins:    40    Totals at 300 spins:    47

Looks like the EMA area worth pursuing further . . . Nick

[Bigbroben]

Personally i think Bollinger bands and the MA is lagging too much. How about inserting an Oscillator like the  Slow Stochastich (or RSI) and a Parabolich Sar ? Difffycult ? 


When the stochastich moves above 80,  you exit your position when the Sar is trigged.  Otherwise the Sar is ignored.  When the Sar is trigged, you bet opposit  until you are either stopped out or the stochastich goes below 20 and the Sar is trigging you to reverse  your betting.

Hi,
although this is an old post, I have some thoughts about this topic.

I did parameterized different scenarios where I'd bet following the dominant color, then basing bets on moving averages 4, 6, 10, 20,30,40,50,100, using different triggers, then using two different avg crossing to decide if red or black.

Strangely enough, the best results were when tracking only the absolute difference between red and black.  Then avg 4, 6 and 100 were second best.  I get and average and median of -1 win-loss out of 200 spins simulations.  There always is this one game where all goes well and end up 30 more wins than losses.  Other times -30: these games are when the trends is not so steep.

I thought averages were quite slow at triggering when going higher than avg 10.  I then realized I liked referring to Parabolic SAR when trading a stock.  Why not use it along with EC tracking?  Depending on parameters, it'll NOT trigger a betting change on small trend variations, but trigger properly when the trend is flattening and a threshold gets crossed. 
Just googled PSAR and there is a tutorial on how to create the function on Excel  ( looking fwd to work on it this week).

So, I'll try to insert PSAR and will get back with results ( I am still a newbie with Excel sheet programming).

Other indicators such as stockastics, RSI might have their place.

Thoughts?

[Bigbroben]

Ok,
PSAR is not enough on itself to enhance the hit rate.  The net difference between red and black is still more accurate.  PSAR works fine when the trend is steep but fails if the trend remains neutral.  see hesitation and switching between spins 79 and 93

I'll see if combined with another tech indicator is better.  Was suggested in the post above to go PSAR and stochastic.

Will see...

In example, PSAR triggered when crossing the moving average 4.  Win-lose total of +5 on 200 spins.

[Proofreaders2000]

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[Proofreaders2000]

bump

[ozon]

A short-term concept taken from forex.
We treat 3 EC pairs as our currency pairs.
We make 20 spins, then we have a leader, one EC which is the strongest and we go with the trend.
We choose one EC and play Target profit +5 units, stoploss -5 units
R: R is 1: 1

Rather, we are doomed to failure by zero.
But this is the basic concept of the game with the trend.
I am guessing that some people use advanced technical analysis concepts, but rather no one will share if it brings profit

[cht]

A short-term concept taken from forex.
We treat 3 EC pairs as our currency pairs.
We make 20 spins, then we have a leader, one EC which is the strongest and we go with the trend.
We choose one EC and play Target profit +5 units, stoploss -5 units
R: R is 1: 1

Rather, we are doomed to failure by zero.
But this is the basic concept of the game with the trend.
I am guessing that some people use advanced technical analysis concepts, but rather no one will share if it brings profit

You have to use excel charts on cellphone - by far the most detail and accurate method.

But no accomplished fx trader will reveal their secret - no visual ever seen online.